Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 35.82%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.49%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (11.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.