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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Birmingham City in this match.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Preston North End |
37.42% ( -0.72) | 27.36% ( 0.34) | 35.22% ( 0.38) |
Both teams to score 49.74% ( -1.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.18% ( -1.3) | 55.83% ( 1.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.05% ( -1.07) | 76.95% ( 1.08) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.2% ( -1.04) | 28.8% ( 1.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.35% ( -1.32) | 64.65% ( 1.33) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.86% ( -0.4) | 30.14% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.71% ( -0.49) | 66.29% ( 0.5) |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Preston North End |
1-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.63% Total : 37.41% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.35% | 0-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.34% Total : 35.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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