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Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 30, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Ewood Park
Leeds logo

Blackburn
1 - 0
Leeds

Cantwell (22' pen.)
Travis (54'), Dolan (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bogle (23'), Ramazani (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Blackburn
Wednesday, November 27 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Luton
Wednesday, November 27 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 0-2 Leeds United

Blackburn Rovers certainly showed their ability to compete with the Championship's stronger sides in their away win over Middlesbrough, but they face another tricky test on Saturday. With Leeds United growing in confidence and boasting plenty of quality all over the pitch, we back Farke's men to continue their winning run at Ewood Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 23.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawLeeds United
23.94% (1.792 1.79) 24.6% (1.508 1.51) 51.46% (-3.303 -3.3)
Both teams to score 51.98% (-2.608 -2.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.02% (-4.519 -4.52)49.97% (4.516 4.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.04% (-4.17 -4.17)71.96% (4.168 4.17)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.5% (-0.866 -0.87)35.5% (0.864 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.73% (-0.906 -0.91)72.27% (0.90300000000001 0.9)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.59% (-2.924 -2.92)19.41% (2.921 2.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.77% (-5.024 -5.02)51.22% (5.022 5.02)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 23.94%
    Leeds United 51.46%
    Draw 24.59%
Blackburn RoversDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 7.14% (1.081 1.08)
2-1 @ 6.06% (0.272 0.27)
2-0 @ 3.7% (0.486 0.49)
3-1 @ 2.09% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-0 @ 1.28% (0.141 0.14)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 23.94%
1-1 @ 11.69% (0.78 0.78)
0-0 @ 6.89% (1.18 1.18)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.25 -0.25)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.17 -0.17)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.59%
0-1 @ 11.29% (1 1)
1-2 @ 9.59% (-0.247 -0.25)
0-2 @ 9.26% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.24% (-0.67 -0.67)
0-3 @ 5.06% (-0.514 -0.51)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.42 -0.42)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.516 -0.52)
0-4 @ 2.07% (-0.439 -0.44)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.3 -0.3)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 51.46%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Leeds

Blackburn Rovers
17.3%
Draw
15.4%
Leeds United
67.3%
52
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 43
Leeds
0-1
Blackburn

Fernandez (90+7')
Szmodics (82')
Carter (28'), Dolan (42'), Tronstad (47'), Pears (85')
Dec 9, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 20
Blackburn
0-2
Leeds

Moran (17'), Wharton (65'), Carter (79')
James (27'), Summerville (75')
Gray (63'), Ampadu (85')
Jul 28, 2021 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Blackburn
1-1
Leeds
McBride (72')
Struijk (80')
Jul 4, 2020 3pm
Nov 9, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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