Serie A | Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna5 - 0Lazio
We said: Bologna 2-1 Lazio
Despite failing to keep a clean sheet in four of their previous matches at the Dall'Ara, Bologna are backed to get the better of Lazio on Sunday, extending their winning sequence in front of their supporters and avoiding defeat to the capital club on home soil for the sixth game running. Lazio's Europa League exertions on Thursday give the Rossoblu the physical edge, and Italiano's side should exploit that to supplant the visitors. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Lazio |
36.24% ( 0.19) | 27.01% ( 0.03) | 36.75% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 50.89% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.59% ( -0.13) | 54.4% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.22% ( -0.1) | 75.77% ( 0.1) |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.18% ( 0.05) | 28.82% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.33% ( 0.07) | 64.67% ( -0.07) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.49% ( -0.19) | 28.51% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.71% ( -0.24) | 64.28% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
Bologna 36.23%
Lazio 36.74%
Draw 27%
| Bologna | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 36.23% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.96% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.7% Total : 36.74% |
How you voted: Bologna vs Lazio
Bologna
60.0%Draw
27.5%Lazio
12.5%80
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Lazio
3-0
Bologna
Feb 18, 2024 11.30am
Gameweek 25
Lazio
1-2
Bologna
Mar 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Bologna
0-0
Lazio
Jan 19, 2023 5pm
