Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 23.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Bologna |
50.39% ( 0.29) | 26.32% ( -0.01) | 23.28% ( -0.28) |
Both teams to score 46.29% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.89% ( -0.19) | 57.1% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.02% ( -0.15) | 77.98% ( 0.15) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.25% ( 0.04) | 22.75% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.57% ( 0.07) | 56.43% ( -0.08) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.92% ( -0.38) | 40.08% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.27% ( -0.35) | 76.73% ( 0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Bologna |
1-0 @ 13.5% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 10% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 50.39% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.68% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.34% Total : 23.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 53 |
2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 55 | 18 | 37 | 50 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 46 |
4 | Lazio | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 22 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 36 |
7 | AC Milan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 34 |
8 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 34 |
9 | Roma | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
10 | Torino | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 26 |
11 | Udinese | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 26 |
12 | Genoa | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 26 |
13 | Como | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 22 |
14 | Empoli | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Parma | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 20 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 20 |
18 | Lecce | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
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