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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Apr 1, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Salernitana

Bologna
3 - 0
Salernitana

Orsolini (14'), Saelemaekers (44'), Lykogiannis (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pierozzi (16'), Candreva (45+1'), Tchaouna (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions
Last Game: Empoli 0-1 Bologna
Friday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Salernitana

All competitions
Last Game: Salernitana 0-1 Lecce
Saturday, March 16 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Bologna 2-0 Salernitana

 Without Zirkzee in attack, Bologna struggled to make things happen in the final third last time out. However, we think they have enough firing power in attack to get maximum points against the league's second-worst defence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 72.09%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 9.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.07%) and 3-0 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
BolognaDrawSalernitana
72.09% (0.067999999999998 0.07) 18.03% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03) 9.87% (-0.037999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 42.2% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.06% (0.024000000000001 0.02)46.94% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.81% (0.021999999999998 0.02)69.19% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.36% (0.025000000000006 0.03)11.64% (-0.025 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.34% (0.055 0.05)36.66% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.75% (-0.064 -0.06)52.25% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.83% (-0.041 -0.04)86.16% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 72.08%
    Salernitana 9.87%
    Draw 18.03%
BolognaDrawSalernitana
2-0 @ 14.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 13.07%
3-0 @ 10.08% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.55% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 5.42% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.52% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 2.33% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.52% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 72.08%
1-1 @ 8.49% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.96% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 18.03%
0-1 @ 3.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 2.76% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.28% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 9.87%

How you voted: Bologna vs Salernitana

Bologna
85.2%
Draw
11.1%
Salernitana
3.7%
81
Head to Head
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Bologna
Simy (75')
Coulibaly (26'), Tchaouna (36'), Mazzocchi (39'), Dia (42'), Daniliuc (48'), Gyomber (54'), Kastanos (89')
Fazio (90+2')
Zirkzee (9', 20')
Zirkzee (44'), Urbanski (85'), Skorupski (90+6')
> Preview
Mar 18, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 27
Salernitana
2-2
Bologna
Pirola (7'), Dia (64')
Ferguson (11'), Lykogiannis (73')
> Preview
Sep 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Bologna
1-1
Salernitana
Arnautovic (52' pen.)
Dia (88')
> Preview
Feb 26, 2022 2.05pm
Gameweek 27
Salernitana
1-1
Bologna
Zortea (72')
Ranieri (7'), Coulibaly (70'), Nicola (74')
Arnautovic (43')
Soriano (59'), Arnautovic (79'), De Silvestri (82')
> Preview
Aug 22, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Bologna
3-2
Salernitana
De Silvestri (59', 77'), Arnautovic (75')
Soriano (41'), Schouten (55'), Bonifazi (87'), Sansone (90+3')
Soriano (50'), Schouten (89')
Bonazzoli (52' pen.), Coulibaly (70')
Strandberg (33'), Jaroszynski (79')
Strandberg (34')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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