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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Apr 1, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Salernitana

Bologna
3 - 0
Salernitana

Orsolini (14'), Saelemaekers (44'), Lykogiannis (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pierozzi (16'), Candreva (45+1'), Tchaouna (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions
Last Game: Empoli 0-1 Bologna
Friday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Salernitana

All competitions
Last Game: Salernitana 0-1 Lecce
Saturday, March 16 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Bologna 2-0 Salernitana

 Without Zirkzee in attack, Bologna struggled to make things happen in the final third last time out. However, we think they have enough firing power in attack to get maximum points against the league's second-worst defence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 72.09%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 9.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.07%) and 3-0 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
BolognaDrawSalernitana
72.09% (0.067999999999998 0.07) 18.03% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03) 9.87% (-0.037999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 42.2% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.06% (0.024000000000001 0.02)46.94% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.81% (0.021999999999998 0.02)69.19% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.36% (0.025000000000006 0.03)11.64% (-0.025 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.34% (0.055 0.05)36.66% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.75% (-0.064 -0.06)52.25% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.83% (-0.041 -0.04)86.16% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 72.08%
    Salernitana 9.87%
    Draw 18.03%
BolognaDrawSalernitana
2-0 @ 14.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 13.07%
3-0 @ 10.08% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.55% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 5.42% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.52% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 2.33% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.52% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 72.08%
1-1 @ 8.49% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.96% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 18.03%
0-1 @ 3.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 2.76% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.28% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 9.87%

How you voted: Bologna vs Salernitana

Bologna
85.2%
Draw
11.1%
Salernitana
3.7%
81
Head to Head
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Fazio (90+2')
Zirkzee (9', 20')
Zirkzee (44'), Urbanski (85'), Skorupski (90+6')
> Preview
Mar 18, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 27
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Ferguson (11'), Lykogiannis (73')
> Preview
Sep 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Bologna
1-1
Salernitana
Arnautovic (52' pen.)
Dia (88')
> Preview
Feb 26, 2022 2.05pm
Gameweek 27
Salernitana
1-1
Bologna
Zortea (72')
Ranieri (7'), Coulibaly (70'), Nicola (74')
Arnautovic (43')
Soriano (59'), Arnautovic (79'), De Silvestri (82')
> Preview
Aug 22, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Bologna
3-2
Salernitana
De Silvestri (59', 77'), Arnautovic (75')
Soriano (41'), Schouten (55'), Bonifazi (87'), Sansone (90+3')
Soriano (50'), Schouten (89')
Bonazzoli (52' pen.), Coulibaly (70')
Strandberg (33'), Jaroszynski (79')
Strandberg (34')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli23173338162254
2Inter Milan22156156193751
3Atalanta BCAtalanta23145449262347
4Juventus23913139201940
5Fiorentina22116537231439
6Lazio2212373830839
7Bologna2291033527837
8AC Milan229853324935
9Roma238783429531
10Udinese2385102836-829
11Torino236982427-327
12Genoa236892132-1126
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2372142648-2223
14Lecce2365121841-2323
15Como2357112738-1122
16Empoli2349102233-1121
17CagliariCagliari2256112336-1321
18Parma2348112942-1320
19VeneziaVenezia2337132238-1616
20Monza2327142034-1413
> Serie A Full Table


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