MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 02:06:37| >> :120:17141:17141:
Dortmund logo
Champions League | League Stage
Nov 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park

Dortmund
1 - 0
Sturm Graz

Malen (86')
Malen (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ilzer (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Borussia Dortmund and Sturm Graz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 2 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Sturm Graz 1-1 Rapid Vienna
Saturday, November 2 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Sturm Graz

Considering the injury crisis that Dortmund are currently facing, it would not be surprising if they conceded first. However, Sturm Graz could find it difficult to hold onto a lead given the hosts' formidable record at home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 59.36%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 19.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Sturm Graz win it was 1-2 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawSturm Graz
59.36% (6.612 6.61) 21.15% (-2.074 -2.07) 19.48% (-4.539 -4.54)
Both teams to score 57% (0.514 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.69% (3.751 3.75)40.3% (-3.754 -3.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.32% (3.761 3.76)62.67% (-3.763 -3.76)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.75% (3.445 3.44)13.25% (-3.448 -3.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.97% (6.55 6.55)40.02% (-6.554 -6.55)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.7% (-2.103 -2.1)34.3% (2.099 2.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29% (-2.316 -2.32)71% (2.315 2.32)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 59.36%
    Sturm Graz 19.48%
    Draw 21.15%
Borussia DortmundDrawSturm Graz
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.173 0.17)
2-0 @ 9.28% (0.67 0.67)
1-0 @ 9.18% (-0.437 -0.44)
3-1 @ 6.69% (0.869 0.87)
3-0 @ 6.25% (1.115 1.12)
3-2 @ 3.58% (0.281 0.28)
4-1 @ 3.38% (0.775 0.78)
4-0 @ 3.16% (0.861 0.86)
4-2 @ 1.81% (0.333 0.33)
5-1 @ 1.37% (0.434 0.43)
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.455 0.46)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 59.36%
1-1 @ 9.83% (-1.072 -1.07)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.216 -0.22)
0-0 @ 4.54% (-0.83 -0.83)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.15%
1-2 @ 5.26% (-0.921 -0.92)
0-1 @ 4.86% (-1.229 -1.23)
0-2 @ 2.6% (-0.851 -0.85)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.193 -0.19)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.458 -0.46)
0-3 @ 0.93% (-0.376 -0.38)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 19.48%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Sturm Graz

Borussia Dortmund
86.5%
Draw
9.9%
Sturm Graz
3.6%
223
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Vikings
@
Bears
6pm
Lions
@
Colts
6pm
Patriots
@
Dolphins
6pm
Buccaneers
@
Giants
6pm
Chiefs
@
Panthers
6pm
Titans
@
Texans
6pm
Cowboys
@
Washington
9.05pm
Broncos
@
Raiders
9.25pm
49ers
@
Packers
9.25pm
Cardinals
@
Seahawks
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!