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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Nov 2, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
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Dortmund
2 - 1
RB Leipzig

Beier (30'), Guirassy (65')
Beier (21'), Bensebaini (34'), Azhil (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sesko (27')
Baumgartner (8'), Henrichs (35'), Geertruida (40'), Kampl (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-0 Dortmund
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 4-2 St Pauli
Tuesday, October 29 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Borussia Dortmund 1-3 RB Leipzig

 It is difficult to see how Dortmund can avoid defeat given their sheer number of injury absentees, as well as their poor form. Additionally, despite their continental struggles this term, RB Leipzig have been exceptional in the Bundesliga, and it would not be surprising if they inflicted more misery upon Dortmund on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 53.44%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.78%) and 1-0 (6.54%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawRB Leipzig
53.44% (-1.695 -1.7) 21.16% (0.415 0.41) 25.4% (1.289 1.29)
Both teams to score 65.51% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.13% (-0.68899999999999 -0.69)32.87% (0.697 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.42% (-0.799 -0.8)54.58% (0.808 0.81)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.44% (-0.709 -0.71)12.56% (0.717 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.38% (-1.502 -1.5)38.62% (1.51 1.51)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (0.55199999999999 0.55)25.08% (-0.544 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.24% (0.756 0.76)59.77% (-0.748 -0.75)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 53.44%
    RB Leipzig 25.4%
    Draw 21.16%
Borussia DortmundDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.78% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-0 @ 6.54% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.48% (-0.203 -0.2)
3-0 @ 4.69% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-2 @ 4.48% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.36% (-0.204 -0.2)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.188 -0.19)
4-2 @ 2.33% (-0.102 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-3 @ 1.07% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.109 -0.11)
5-2 @ 0.97% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 53.44%
1-1 @ 9.04% (0.223 0.22)
2-2 @ 6.48% (0.082 0.08)
0-0 @ 3.15% (0.115 0.12)
3-3 @ 2.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 21.16%
1-2 @ 6.25% (0.249 0.25)
0-1 @ 4.36% (0.225 0.23)
0-2 @ 3.01% (0.2 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.99% (0.084 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.88% (0.158 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.112 0.11)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.045 0.05)
1-4 @ 1% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 25.4%

How you voted: Dortmund vs RB Leipzig

Borussia Dortmund
21.2%
Draw
19.6%
RB Leipzig
59.2%
179
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 31
RB Leipzig
4-1
Dortmund
Openda (23'), Sesko (45+2'), Simakan (46'), Baumgartner (80')
Simakan (37')
Sancho (20')
Sancho (37'), Schlotterbeck (76')
> Preview
Dec 9, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Dortmund
2-3
RB Leipzig
Sule (45+6'), Fullkrug (90+3')
Ozcan (60')
Hummels (15')
Bensebaini (32' og.), Baumgartner (54'), Poulsen (90+1')
Simakan (35'), Simons (61'), Openda (66')
> Preview
Apr 5, 2023 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
RB Leipzig
2-0
Dortmund
Werner (22'), Orban (90+8')
> Preview
Mar 3, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 23
Dortmund
2-1
RB Leipzig
Reus (21' pen.), Can (39')
Forsberg (74')
> Match Report
Sep 10, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
RB Leipzig
3-0
Dortmund
Orban (6'), Szoboszlai (45'), Haidara (84')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610
> Bundesliga Full Table


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