Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Nov 2, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
We said: Borussia Dortmund 1-3 RB Leipzig
It is difficult to see how Dortmund can avoid defeat given their sheer number of injury absentees, as well as their poor form.
Additionally, despite their continental struggles this term, RB Leipzig have been exceptional in the Bundesliga, and it would not be surprising if they inflicted more misery upon Dortmund on Saturday.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 53.44% . A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 21.2% .
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.78%) and 1-0 (6.54%) . The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (6.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.04%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.
Result Borussia Dortmund Draw RB Leipzig 53.44% ( -1.7) 21.16% ( 0.41) 25.4% ( 1.29)
Both teams to score 65.51% ( -0.05)
67.13% ( -0.69) 32.87% ( 0.7)
45.42% ( -0.8) 54.58% ( 0.81)
87.44% ( -0.71) 12.56% ( 0.72)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 61.38% ( -1.5) 38.62% ( 1.51)
74.92% ( 0.55) 25.08% ( -0.54)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 40.24% ( 0.76) 59.77% ( -0.75)
Borussia Dortmund 53.44%
RB Leipzig 25.4%
Draw 21.16%
Borussia Dortmund Draw RB Leipzig 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.13) 4-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.11) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.54% Total : 53.44% 1-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 2.07% ( 0) Other @ 0.42% Total : 21.16% 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.49% Total : 25.4%
How you voted: Dortmund vs RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
Draw
RB Leipzig
179
rhs 2.0
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