Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Dortmund
Saturday, October 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, October 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
12
Last Game: St Pauli 0-3 Mainz
Saturday, October 5 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, October 5 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-0 St Pauli
Although Borussia Dortmund have struggled for consistency in recent weeks, it is difficult to see them losing given the poor offensive record of the visitors. It would also be surprising if St Pauli managed to avoid defeat considering the strong home form of their hosts. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 57.17%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 22.49% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.22%) and 3-1 (6.9%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (5.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Borussia Dortmund.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | St Pauli |
57.17% ( -1.33) | 20.35% ( 0.07) | 22.49% ( 1.26) |
| Both teams to score 64.85% ( 1.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
