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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Oct 26, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
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Augsburg
2 - 1
Dortmund

Claude-Maurice (25', 50')
Giannoulis (42'), Tietz (73'), Gouweleeuw (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Malen (4')
Raouf Mohammed Kabar (71'), Bensebaini (90+4')
Raouf Mohammed Kabar (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Freiburg 3-1 Augsburg
Saturday, October 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Real Madrid 5-2 Dortmund
Tuesday, October 22 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Augsburg 2-2 Borussia Dortmund

 While Sahin will hope that his side can bounce back in convincing fashion against Augsburg, it is difficult to overlook his side's poor defensive record. Additionally, Dortmund have been poor away from home in recent Bundesliga matches, and it would not be surprising if Augsburg managed to earn a point on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.4%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Augsburg in this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
41.74% (-0.218 -0.22) 22.98% (-0.055 -0.05) 35.28% (0.273 0.27)
Both teams to score 65.06% (0.27499999999999 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.92% (0.332 0.33)36.08% (-0.332 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.82% (0.364 0.36)58.18% (-0.364 -0.36)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.15% (0.048000000000002 0.05)17.85% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.39% (0.079999999999998 0.08)48.6% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.19% (0.28999999999999 0.29)20.8% (-0.29 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.53% (0.455 0.45)53.46% (-0.456 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 41.74%
    Borussia Dortmund 35.28%
    Draw 22.98%
AugsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.66% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.4% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.51% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.97% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.9% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.14% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.68% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 41.74%
1-1 @ 10.04% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.8% (0.029 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.71% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-3 @ 2.04% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.98%
1-2 @ 7.89% (0.022 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.83% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.58% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.13% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.56% (0.046 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.4% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.62% (0.033 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.4% (0.031 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 35.28%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Dortmund

Augsburg
25.2%
Draw
20.4%
Borussia Dortmund
54.4%
103
Head to Head
May 4, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Dortmund
5-1
Augsburg
Moukoko (4', 29'), Malen (20'), Reus (34'), Nmecha (64')
Vargas (32')
Bauer (10')
> Preview
Dec 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Augsburg
1-1
Dortmund
Demirovic (23')
Gouweleeuw (79'), Gumny (90+4')
Malen (35')
Haller (90+1')
> Preview
May 21, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 33
Augsburg
0-3
Dortmund

Beljo (42'), Gouweleeuw (69'), Demirovic (73')
Uduokhai (38')
Haller (58', 84'), Brandt (90+3')
Can (47'), Adeyemi (69'), Wolf (73')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Dortmund
4-3
Augsburg
Bellingham (29'), Schlotterbeck (42'), Bynoe-Gittens (75'), Reyna (78')
Maier (40'), Demirovic (45+1'), Colina (76')
> Preview
Feb 27, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 24
Augsburg
1-1
Dortmund
Sarenren Bazee (78')
Vargas (19'), Dorsch (47')
Hazard (35')
Bellingham (87')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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