MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 00:58:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Oct 26, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Dortmund logo

Augsburg
2 - 1
Dortmund

Claude-Maurice (25', 50')
Giannoulis (42'), Tietz (73'), Gouweleeuw (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Malen (4')
Raouf Mohammed Kabar (71'), Bensebaini (90+4')
Raouf Mohammed Kabar (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 3-1 Augsburg
Saturday, October 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Real Madrid 5-2 Dortmund
Tuesday, October 22 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Augsburg 2-2 Borussia Dortmund

While Sahin will hope that his side can bounce back in convincing fashion against Augsburg, it is difficult to overlook his side's poor defensive record. Additionally, Dortmund have been poor away from home in recent Bundesliga matches, and it would not be surprising if Augsburg managed to earn a point on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.4%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Augsburg in this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
41.74% (-0.218 -0.22) 22.98% (-0.055 -0.05) 35.28% (0.273 0.27)
Both teams to score 65.06% (0.27499999999999 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.92% (0.332 0.33)36.08% (-0.332 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.82% (0.364 0.36)58.18% (-0.364 -0.36)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.15% (0.048000000000002 0.05)17.85% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.39% (0.079999999999998 0.08)48.6% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.19% (0.28999999999999 0.29)20.8% (-0.29 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.53% (0.455 0.45)53.46% (-0.456 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 41.74%
    Borussia Dortmund 35.28%
    Draw 22.98%
AugsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.66% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.4% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.51% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.97% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.9% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.14% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.68% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 41.74%
1-1 @ 10.04% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.8% (0.029 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.71% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-3 @ 2.04% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.98%
1-2 @ 7.89% (0.022 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.83% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.58% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.13% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.56% (0.046 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.4% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.62% (0.033 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.4% (0.031 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 35.28%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Dortmund

Augsburg
25.2%
Draw
20.4%
Borussia Dortmund
54.4%
103
Head to Head
May 4, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Dortmund
5-1
Augsburg
Moukoko (4', 29'), Malen (20'), Reus (34'), Nmecha (64')
Vargas (32')
Bauer (10')
Dec 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Augsburg
1-1
Dortmund
Demirovic (23')
Gouweleeuw (79'), Gumny (90+4')
Malen (35')
Haller (90+1')
May 21, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 33
Augsburg
0-3
Dortmund

Beljo (42'), Gouweleeuw (69'), Demirovic (73')
Uduokhai (38')
Haller (58', 84'), Brandt (90+3')
Can (47'), Adeyemi (69'), Wolf (73')
Jan 22, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Dortmund
4-3
Augsburg
Bellingham (29'), Schlotterbeck (42'), Bynoe-Gittens (75'), Reyna (78')
Maier (40'), Demirovic (45+1'), Colina (76')
Feb 27, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 24
Augsburg
1-1
Dortmund
Sarenren Bazee (78')
Vargas (19'), Dorsch (47')
Hazard (35')
Bellingham (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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