Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Braga0 - 3Arouca
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Portimonense 3-5 Braga
Monday, April 1 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, April 1 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 2-1 Farense
Saturday, March 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, March 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Braga 3-1 Arouca
Braga are in hot form and currently on a four-match winning streak on home soil. They have also been dominant in this fixture over the years and we think this will continue on Saturday. However, we also think that Arouca will break their scoring drought in this fixture. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 62.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 16.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Arouca |
62.96% ( -0.06) | 20.62% ( -0.23) | 16.42% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 52.71% ( 1.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.97% ( 1.58) | 43.03% ( -1.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.57% ( 1.54) | 65.43% ( -1.55) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.95% ( 0.47) | 13.05% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.37% ( 0.96) | 39.62% ( -0.96) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.62% ( 1.33) | 39.37% ( -1.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.92% ( 1.21) | 76.07% ( -1.22) |
| Score Analysis |
Braga 62.95%
Arouca 16.42%
Draw 20.62%
| Braga | Draw | Arouca |
| 2-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.36) 1-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.55)2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.17)4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.11)5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.19% Total : 62.95% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.37)2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.62% | 0-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.08)Other @ 2% Total : 16.42% |
How you voted: Braga vs Arouca
Braga
96.0%Draw
0.0%Arouca
4.0%25
