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Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Nov 30, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Strasbourg

Brest
3 - 1
Strasbourg

Lala (12' pen.), Pereira Lage (45+1'), Del Castillo (90+2')
Balde (27'), Chardonnet (32'), Ajorque (43')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ouattara (85')
Mara (41'), Moreira (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Barcelona 3-0 Brest
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League

Strasbourg

All competitions
Last Game: Nice 2-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, November 24 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 2-0 Strasbourg

 Against only Paris Saint-Germain and Rennes do Brest have a longer current winless run at home than they do versus Strasbourg, but despite their slow start in the league, three of their four wins this season have come immediately after a Champions League matchday. Strasbourg have produced entertaining encounters on the road so far, but have just two points to show for it, with their tally of 10 goals proving insignificant due to the fact they have let in 16. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
BrestDrawStrasbourg
49.32% (0.27800000000001 0.28) 24.84% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 25.83% (-0.269 -0.27)
Both teams to score 53.11% (-0.206 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.6% (-0.159 -0.16)49.4% (0.157 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.55% (-0.143 -0.14)71.44% (0.14099999999999 0.14)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.94% (0.051999999999992 0.05)20.05% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.72% (0.082000000000001 0.08)52.27% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.43% (-0.30399999999999 -0.3)33.57% (0.303 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.79% (-0.334 -0.33)70.21% (0.333 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Brest 49.32%
    Strasbourg 25.83%
    Draw 24.84%
BrestDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 10.81% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.69% (0.083 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.08% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.65% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.04% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.87% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 49.32%
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 6.73% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 7.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.44% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 25.83%

How you voted: Brest vs Strasbourg

Brest
78.7%
Draw
16.0%
Strasbourg
5.3%
75
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 23
Strasbourg
0-3
Brest

Guilbert (69'), Nzingoula (90+1'), Santos (90+2')
Camara (33', 40', 60')
> Preview
Dec 7, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 12
Brest
1-1
Strasbourg
Le Douaron (44')
Magnetti (35')
Emegha (80')
> Preview
Mar 5, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 26
Strasbourg
0-1
Brest
Honorat (45+2')
> Preview
Sep 4, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 6
Brest
1-1
Strasbourg
Lees-Melou (6')
Ajorque (28' pen.)
> Preview
May 7, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 36
Brest
0-1
Strasbourg

Satriano (83')
Gameiro (72')
Nyamsi (83'), Lienard (84')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG19145049173247
2Marseille19114440231737
3MonacoMonaco19104532221034
4Nice1996438251333
5Lille1988329191032
6Lyon198653023730
7Lens198652318530
8Brest199192931-228
9StrasbourgStrasbourg197663331227
10Toulouse197482021-125
11Auxerre196582529-423
12Reims195772527-222
13Angers196492128-722
14NantesNantes193972229-718
15Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1953111839-2118
16Rennes1952122630-417
17Montpellier HSCMontpellier1943122044-2415
18Le HavreLe Havre1941141438-2413
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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