MX23RW : Saturday, January 4 18:51:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Burnley logo

Bristol City
0 - 1
Burnley


McNally (22'), Twine (90+8'), Dickie (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Anthony (23')
Esteve (67'), Mejbri (69'), Trafford (70'), Pires (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 0-2 Bristol City
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Swansea
Sunday, November 10 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-2 Burnley

With both teams having posted crucial wins in their own right last time out, they will be confident of building on it at Ashton Gate. However, we are backing Burnley to edge this contest, Parker knowing that his side have to change something up in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawBurnley
41.23% (0.085999999999999 0.09) 28.04% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 30.73% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 46.69% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.83% (0.125 0.13)59.17% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.4% (0.099 0.1)79.6% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.77% (0.10799999999999 0.11)28.23% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.07% (0.13500000000001 0.14)63.93% (-0.133 -0.13)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.05% (0.033000000000001 0.03)34.95% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.31% (0.033999999999999 0.03)71.69% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 41.22%
    Burnley 30.73%
    Draw 28.04%
Bristol CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 12.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.3% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.5% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.33% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.11% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 41.22%
1-1 @ 13.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.86% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.04%
0-1 @ 10.37% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.9%
0-2 @ 5.45% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 30.73%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Burnley

Bristol City
25.4%
Draw
20.6%
Burnley
54.0%
63
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Bristol City
1-2
Burnley
Conway (60')
Benson (33'), Rodriguez (62')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Burnley
2-1
Bristol City
Benson (4'), Rodriguez (67')
Wells (27')
Jan 28, 2017 3pm
Fourth Round
Burnley
2-0
Bristol City
Vokes (45'), Defour (68')
Tarkowski (67'), Darikwa (92')
Dec 28, 2015 3pm
Burnley
4-0
Bristol City
Gray (37', 45', 78'), Arfield (71')
Jones (45')

Baker (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland25138438221647
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Millwall257992423130
14Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
15Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
16Queens Park RangersQPR2561182733-629
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2574142642-1625
21Portsmouth2358103040-1023
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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