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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Burnley |
41.23% ( 0.09) | 28.04% ( -0.04) | 30.73% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 46.69% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.83% ( 0.13) | 59.17% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.4% ( 0.1) | 79.6% ( -0.1) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.77% ( 0.11) | 28.23% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.07% ( 0.14) | 63.93% ( -0.13) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.05% ( 0.03) | 34.95% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.31% ( 0.03) | 71.69% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 12.47% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 41.22% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.04% | 0-1 @ 10.37% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.9% 0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 30.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 47 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
9 | Watford | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
16 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 28 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Portsmouth | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 23 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 20 |
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