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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Bristol City
4 - 0
Plymouth

Twine (57'), Mehmeti (62', 70'), Armstrong (90')
Wells (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Palsson (32'), Grimshaw (66'), Forshaw (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-0 Bristol City
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 6-1 Plymouth
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 3-1 Plymouth Argyle

With Plymouth having been read the riot act by Rooney, an improved performance is anticipated at Ashton Gate. Nevertheless, Argyle's away record is abysmal, leading us to predict a comfortable home success for Bristol City. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 59.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 17.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
59.42% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03) 23.09% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 17.49% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 47.14% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.39% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)51.61% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.61% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)73.39% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.96% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)17.04% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.81% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)47.19% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.82% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)43.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.56%79.44%
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 59.42%
    Plymouth Argyle 17.49%
    Draw 23.09%
Bristol CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 13.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.52%
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 6.8% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.01% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.53% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 59.42%
1-1 @ 10.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 23.09%
0-1 @ 6.18% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.59% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-2 @ 2.6% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.29%
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 17.49%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Plymouth

Bristol City
61.8%
Draw
26.5%
Plymouth Argyle
11.8%
34
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 40
Plymouth
0-1
Bristol City

Devine (54'), Gibson (62'), Houghton (90')
Devine (78')
Wells (57')
Twine (28'), Pring (88'), Wells (90+6')
Sep 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Bristol City
4-1
Plymouth
Bell (3'), James (8'), Sykes (33'), Cornick (80')
Wells (35'), Tanner (67'), Yeboah (90+3')
Randell (26')
Jul 16, 2022 3pm
Club Friendlies
Plymouth
0-1
Bristol City
Wells (82')
Jul 27, 2021 6pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Plymouth
0-1
Bristol City
Weimann (55')
Aug 14, 2018 7.45pm
First Round
Bristol City
0-1
Plymouth

Weimann (86')
Songo'o (27')
Songo'o (17'), Carey (49'), Ladapo (59'), Smith-Brown (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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