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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bristol City in this match.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Bristol City |
31.99% ( -0.42) | 25.47% ( -0.1) | 42.55% ( 0.53) |
Both teams to score 55.07% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.32% ( 0.3) | 48.68% ( -0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.21% ( 0.28) | 70.8% ( -0.27) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.31% ( -0.13) | 28.69% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.49% ( -0.16) | 64.52% ( 0.17) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.22% ( 0.39) | 22.78% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.52% ( 0.57) | 56.48% ( -0.57) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.99% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.17% Total : 42.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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