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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bristol City in this match.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Bristol City |
31.99% ( -0.42) | 25.47% ( -0.1) | 42.55% ( 0.53) |
Both teams to score 55.07% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.32% ( 0.3) | 48.68% ( -0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.21% ( 0.28) | 70.8% ( -0.27) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.31% ( -0.13) | 28.69% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.49% ( -0.16) | 64.52% ( 0.17) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.22% ( 0.39) | 22.78% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.52% ( 0.57) | 56.48% ( -0.57) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.99% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.17% Total : 42.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 58 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 56 |
3 | Sunderland | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 54 |
4 | Burnley | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 53 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 42 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 41 |
9 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 38 |
10 | Bristol City | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
11 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 36 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 35 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 34 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Millwall | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 31 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 28 |
20 | Derby CountyDerby | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 27 |
21 | Hull City | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 26 |
22 | Portsmouth | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 21 |
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