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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Crawley Town |
42.81% ( 0.07) | 24.27% ( -0.02) | 32.92% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 59.57% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.04% ( 0.08) | 42.96% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.64% ( 0.08) | 65.36% ( -0.08) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.77% ( 0.06) | 20.23% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.44% ( 0.1) | 52.56% ( -0.1) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.68% ( 0.01) | 25.32% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.9% ( 0.01) | 60.09% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Crawley Town |
2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.54% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 42.81% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 32.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 60 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 58 |
3 | Wrexham | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 52 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 48 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 28 | 15 | 47 |
6 | Leyton Orient | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 44 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 44 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 43 |
9 | Barnsley | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 42 |
10 | Reading | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 41 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 38 |
12 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 37 |
13 | Blackpool | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
15 | Stevenage | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 37 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 33 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 30 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 28 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 27 |
21 | Burton Albion | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 24 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 24 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 21 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 20 |
> League One Full Table |