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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Burton Albion
1 - 3
Bristol Rovers

Orsi (15')
Kalinauskas (39'), Webster (45+1'), Cooper Love (89')
Vancooten (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Forde (52'), Sinclair (59'), Ward (90+3')
Conteh (45'), O'Donkor (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-2 Charlton
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-2 Bristol Rovers

At least three goals have been scored in each of Burton's and Bristol Rovers' last five league games, so another entertaining contest with plenty of goalmouth action could be on the cards this weekend. Although the Pirates have picked up nine of their 10 points on home soil so far this season, we are backing them to secure all three on the road against an out-of-sorts Brewers outfit this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawBristol Rovers
40.04% (-0.012 -0.01) 26.59% (0.0039999999999978 0) 33.37% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.87% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)53% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.41% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)74.59% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.02% (-0.012 -0.01)25.98% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)61% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.08% (0.0040000000000049 0)29.92% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.97% (0.0019999999999953 0)66.03% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 40.03%
    Bristol Rovers 33.37%
    Draw 26.58%
Burton AlbionDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 10.47%
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.83% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 40.03%
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 7.78% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 9.38% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.66% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.07%
0-3 @ 2.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.07%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 33.37%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Bristol Rovers

Burton Albion
28.6%
Draw
14.3%
Bristol Rovers
57.1%
7
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
Bristol Rovers
1-2
Burton Albion
Evans (60')
Gilligan (43'), Helm (57')
Bola (49'), Gilligan (52'), Helm (64'), Bennett (80')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Burton Albion
4-1
Bristol Rovers
Lubala (26', 43'), Powell (81'), Baah (84')
Moon (18'), Crocombe (70'), Helm (88')
Evans (7')
Bogarde (90+2')
Woods (64')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Burton Albion
0-4
Bristol Rovers

Smith (14'), Butcher (64')
Shaughnessy (1')
Evans (4'), Connolly (12'), Collins (40', 44')
Whelan (72')
Mar 2, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 33
Burton Albion
1-0
Bristol Rovers
Smith (55')
Clare (43'), Carter (90+2'), Hemmings (90+6')

McCormick (11')
McCormick (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe24156350262451
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield23135536191744
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2311483534137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Stevenage238781820-231
14Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
15Blackpool247983235-330
16Rotherham UnitedRotherham237792123-228
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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