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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
41.82% ( -0.07) | 24.46% ( 0.02) | 33.72% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 59.15% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.38% ( -0.06) | 43.62% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.99% ( -0.06) | 66.01% ( 0.06) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.04% ( -0.06) | 20.96% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.29% ( -0.09) | 53.71% ( 0.1) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.84% ( 0.01) | 25.16% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.12% ( 0.01) | 59.88% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 41.82% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 42 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 14 | 22 | 41 |
3 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
4 | Sunderland | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 37 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 34 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 31 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
11 | Bristol City | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 26 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 25 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 22 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 21 |
17 | Derby CountyDerby | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 21 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 21 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
21 | Portsmouth | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 16 |
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