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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Turf Moor
Blackburn logo

Burnley
1 - 1
Blackburn

Foster (10')
Mejbri (42'), Foster (77'), Pears (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Weimann (23')
Gueye (31'), Travis (34'), Brittain (49'), Carter (53'), Hedges (66'), Koleosho (67'), Egan Riley (90+6')
Gueye (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolves 2-0 Burnley
Wednesday, August 28 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup

We said: Burnley 2-1 Blackburn Rovers

Burnley have enjoyed all of the bragging rights from this fixture over the past decade and will be confident of continuing their excellent record in the East Lancashire derby on Saturday. Blackburn are still a major threat in attack despite the departure of Szmodics, but we feel that the visitors will narrowly lose out at Turf Moor this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
BurnleyDrawBlackburn Rovers
41.82% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07) 24.46% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 33.72% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Both teams to score 59.15% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.38% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)43.62% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.99% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)66.01% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.04% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)20.96% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.29% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)53.71% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84% (0.010999999999996 0.01)25.16% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.12% (0.012 0.01)59.88% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 41.82%
    Blackburn Rovers 33.72%
    Draw 24.46%
BurnleyDrawBlackburn Rovers
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.24% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.44% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 41.82%
1-1 @ 11.37% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.27% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.46%
1-2 @ 7.85% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.28% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.02% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.31% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.25% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 33.72%

How you voted: Burnley vs Blackburn

Burnley
63.4%
Draw
16.8%
Blackburn Rovers
19.8%
101
Head to Head
Apr 25, 2023 8pm
Nov 13, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 21
Burnley
3-0
Blackburn
Barnes (55', 81'), Zaroury (74')
Aug 23, 2017 7.45pm
Second Round
Blackburn
0-2
Burnley

Bennett (89')
Cork (27'), Brady (45')
Bardsley (55'), Long (64')
Mar 5, 2016 12.30pm
Burnley
1-0
Blackburn
Gray (15' pen.)
Lowton (63'), Ulvestad (92')

Gomez (13'), Lenihan (52'), Bennett (91'), Watt (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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