Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Bologna |
35.25% ( 0.61) | 26.84% ( 0.19) | 37.9% ( -0.8) |
Both teams to score 51.36% ( -0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.21% ( -0.7) | 53.78% ( 0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.74% ( -0.6) | 75.26% ( 0.59) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.88% ( 0.04) | 29.12% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.95% ( 0.05) | 65.04% ( -0.05) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.46% ( -0.79) | 27.54% ( 0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.95% ( -1.03) | 63.05% ( 1.02) |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Bologna |
1-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 35.25% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.84% | 0-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.02% Total : 37.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 53 |
2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 55 | 18 | 37 | 50 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 46 |
4 | Lazio | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 22 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 36 |
7 | AC Milan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 34 |
8 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 34 |
9 | Roma | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
10 | Torino | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 26 |
11 | Udinese | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 26 |
12 | Genoa | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 26 |
13 | Como | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 22 |
14 | Empoli | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Parma | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 20 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 20 |
18 | Lecce | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
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