Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Cagliari0 - 2Bologna
We said: Cagliari 0-1 Bologna
Having had a little extra time on the training ground, Vincenzo Italiano could guide his ailing Bologna side to an overdue victory, prevailing by a single goal in Sardinia. After throwing away two points against Genoa in their last league outing, the Emilians can conquer Cagliari and record just a second away win of the season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Bologna |
35.25% ( 0.61) | 26.84% ( 0.19) | 37.9% ( -0.8) |
| Both teams to score 51.36% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
