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Serie A
Monza
Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2024 at 2pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Bologna logo

Monza
1 - 2
Bologna

Djuric (43')
Carboni (18'), Izzo (42'), Castro (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Urbanski (24'), Castro (80')
Lucumi (51'), Mari (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Monza and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, September 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Bologna

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 0-0 Shakhtar
Wednesday, September 18 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: Monza 0-1 Bologna

 Neither side has found their rhythm in the final third this season - with both averaging under one goal per game across all competitions - so it could be a single strike that separates them on Sunday. Monza's wait for a win may go on, as Bologna have a few more potential routes to goal available, and they are more likely to score. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Monza had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
MonzaDrawBologna
34.54% (0.255 0.26) 27.55% (0.138 0.14) 37.91% (-0.39100000000001 -0.39)
Both teams to score 49.08% (-0.38 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.38% (-0.494 -0.49)56.62% (0.495 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.41% (-0.398 -0.4)77.59% (0.401 0.4)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.02% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)30.98% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.72% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)67.28% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.11% (-0.465 -0.47)28.89% (0.468 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.23% (-0.583 -0.58)64.76% (0.58499999999999 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Monza 34.53%
    Bologna 37.91%
    Draw 27.55%
MonzaDrawBologna
1-0 @ 10.48% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 7.63% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.15% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.4% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 34.53%
1-1 @ 13.02% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.95% (0.169 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.55%
0-1 @ 11.11% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.075999999999999 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.9% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 37.91%

How you voted: Monza vs Bologna

Monza
30.9%
Draw
29.9%
Bologna
39.2%
97
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Bologna
0-0
Monza
Orsolini (5'), Ferguson (32'), Beukema (74'), Ndoye (90+4')
Akpa-Akpro (19'), Izzo (36'), Bondo (79'), Birindelli (87')
> Preview
Sep 28, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Monza
0-0
Bologna
Vignato (70'), Birindelli (80'), Ciurria (85'), Gagliardini (88'), Mari (90+3')
Orsolini (12'), Motta (86'), Saelemaekers (86')
Saelemaekers (86')
> Preview
Feb 12, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 22
Bologna
0-1
Monza
Donati (25')
> Preview
Oct 31, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Monza
1-2
Bologna
Petagna (57' pen.)
Ferguson (60'), Orsolini (73')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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