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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Cagliari logo

Parma
2 - 3
Cagliari

Man (62'), Hernani (87' pen.)
Bernabe (25'), Coulibaly (48'), Haj Mohamed (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zortea (34'), Marin (75'), Piccoli (87')
Obert (53'), Piccoli (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Parma and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 2-2 Parma
Saturday, September 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 1-0 Cremonese
Tuesday, September 24 at 5.30pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Parma 2-1 Cagliari

A meeting between the team that attempted the most shots after five matchdays (Cagliari, 85) and the side that conceded more attempts than any other (Parma, 93) surely cannot end goalless. Both home advantage and a sharper cutting edge should tip the balance in Parma's favour, leaving their visitors still searching for an elusive Serie A success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
ParmaDrawCagliari
44.96% (-0.116 -0.12) 25.3% (-0.073 -0.07) 29.74% (0.186 0.19)
Both teams to score 54.55% (0.343 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.13% (0.399 0.4)48.86% (-0.402 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.04% (0.362 0.36)70.96% (-0.366 -0.37)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.27% (0.11500000000001 0.12)21.73% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.1% (0.174 0.17)54.9% (-0.178 -0.18)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.69% (0.336 0.34)30.31% (-0.34 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51% (0.4 0.4)66.49% (-0.404 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Parma 44.96%
    Cagliari 29.74%
    Draw 25.3%
ParmaDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 10.05% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.67% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.66% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.9% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.035 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 44.96%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 7.86% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.16% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.85% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.87% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 29.74%

How you voted: Parma vs Cagliari

Parma
72.9%
Draw
20.0%
Cagliari
7.1%
155
Head to Head
Jun 3, 2023 7.30pm
Parma
0-0
Cagliari
Osorio (61'), Zanimacchia (64')
Dossena (41'), Radunovic (90'), Goldaniga (90+1'), Viola (90+5')
May 30, 2023 7.30pm
Cagliari
3-2
Parma
Luvumbo (68', 89'), Lapadula (85' pen.)
Benedyczak (10'), Sohm (26')
Estevez (29'), Vazquez (62'), Chichizola (65'), Mihaila (72'), Man (90+1')
Apr 22, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 34
Parma
2-1
Cagliari
Vazquez (62' pen.), Man (77')
Lapadula (32')
Dec 3, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 15
Cagliari
1-1
Parma
Pavoletti (54')
Camara (44')
Apr 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Cagliari
4-3
Parma
Pavoletti (39'), Marin (66'), Pereiro (90+1'), Cerri (90+4')
Marin (30'), Duncan (46'), Nandez (80'), Nainggolan (83')
Pezzella (5'), Kucka (31'), Man (59')
Pezzella (24'), Kurtic (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113


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