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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Atalanta logo

Bologna
1 - 1
Atalanta

Castro (46')
Freuler (1'), Fabbian (35'), Skorupski (79')
Lucumi (50')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Samardzic (90')
Bellanova (29'), Odilon (33'), Ederson (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monza 1-2 Bologna
Sunday, September 22 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 2-3 Como
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Bologna 1-1 Atalanta BC

Bologna could be bound for a remarkable seventh successive home draw, as they are set to score against hit-and-miss Atalanta but are also likely to be caught out at the other end. The teams finished side-by-side in Serie A last season, and for all La Dea's individual quality, the Europa League winners tend to struggle on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 48.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 25.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
BolognaDrawAtalanta BC
48.82% (-0.45800000000001 -0.46) 26.07% (0.088000000000001 0.09) 25.11% (0.367 0.37)
Both teams to score 48.77% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.23% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)54.77% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.92% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)76.08% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.53% (-0.23 -0.23)22.46% (0.227 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.99% (-0.34 -0.34)56.01% (0.337 0.34)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.9% (0.29600000000001 0.3)37.1% (-0.299 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.11% (0.293 0.29)73.88% (-0.29599999999999 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 48.82%
    Atalanta BC 25.11%
    Draw 26.07%
BolognaDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 12.44% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.29% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.21% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.63% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.59% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.73% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 48.82%
1-1 @ 12.34% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.33% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.57% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 8.26% (0.084 0.08)
1-2 @ 6.12% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.1% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.02% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 25.11%

How you voted: Bologna vs Atalanta

Bologna
34.3%
Draw
31.4%
Atalanta BC
34.3%
105
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 27
Atalanta
1-2
Bologna
Lookman (28')
Koopmeiners (14'), Holm (64'), Ederson (69')
Zirkzee (57' pen.), Ferguson (61')
Posch (6'), Odgaard (90+4')
Dec 23, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 17
Bologna
1-0
Atalanta
Ferguson (86')
Posch (30'), Freuler (70')

Piero Gasperini (26'), de Roon (69'), Zappacosta (79'), Hateboer (88'), Scamacca (90+5')
Apr 8, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 29
Atalanta
0-2
Bologna
Sansone (49'), Orsolini (86')
Jan 9, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Bologna
1-2
Atalanta
Koopmeiners (47'), Hojlund (58')
Mar 20, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Bologna
0-1
Atalanta
Cisse (82')
Demiral (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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