Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 67.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 13.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.73%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-0 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Inter Milan |
13.12% ( -0.05) | 18.89% ( -0.02) | 67.99% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 50.15% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.84% ( -0) | 42.16% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.44% ( -0) | 64.56% ( -0) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.59% ( -0.08) | 43.41% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.37% ( -0.06) | 79.63% ( 0.06) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.61% ( 0.01) | 11.39% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.87% ( 0.04) | 36.13% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.36% Total : 13.12% | 1-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.94% 2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.92% Total : 18.89% | 0-2 @ 11.66% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 10.73% 1-2 @ 9.74% ( -0) 0-3 @ 8.45% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 7.05% ( 0) 0-4 @ 4.59% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.83% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.66% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 3.73% Total : 67.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 31 |
8 | Bologna | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |