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Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 28, 2024 at 5pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Inter logo

Cagliari
0 - 3
Inter Milan

FT(HT: 0-0)
Bastoni (53'), Martinez (71'), Calhanoglu (78' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Venezia 2-1 Cagliari
Sunday, December 22 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Como
Monday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 1-3 Inter Milan

Inter have spent the most minutes leading matches this season (683) while Cagliari have been ahead for the fewest (99), and they should both continue in the same vein this weekend. The champions will be in no mood to relent as they try to apply pressure on several title rivals; their ailing hosts are in no position to stop them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 67.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 13.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.73%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-0 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawInter Milan
13.12% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05) 18.89% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 67.99% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 50.15% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.84% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)42.16% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)64.56% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.59% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)43.41% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.37% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)79.63% (0.058000000000007 0.06)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.61% (0.013999999999996 0.01)11.39% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.87% (0.036999999999999 0.04)36.13% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 13.12%
    Inter Milan 67.98%
    Draw 18.89%
CagliariDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 4.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 3.74% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.72% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.13% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 13.12%
1-1 @ 8.96% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.94%
2-2 @ 4.06% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 18.89%
0-2 @ 11.66% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 10.73%
1-2 @ 9.74% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 8.45% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 7.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 4.59% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.83% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 1.99% (0.008 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.66% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.6% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 67.98%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Inter Milan

Cagliari
11.8%
Draw
8.2%
Inter Milan
80.0%
85
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Inter Milan
2-2
Cagliari
Thuram (12'), Calhanoglu (74' pen.)
Shomurodov (64'), Viola (83')
Prati (40'), Mina (73')
Aug 28, 2023 7.45pm
May 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Cagliari
1-3
Inter Milan
Darmian (25'), Martinez (51', 84')
Darmian (37'), Calhanoglu (87')
Dec 12, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Inter Milan
4-0
Cagliari
Martinez (29', 68'), Sanchez (50'), Calhanoglu (66')
Martinez (33')

Cragno (43'), Deiola (76')
Apr 11, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 30
Inter Milan
1-0
Cagliari
Darmian (77')
Brozovic (52')

Nainggolan (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan18134146153143
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna187832723429
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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