Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 65.07%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 14.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Inter Milan |
14.93% ( 0.39) | 20% ( -0.26) | 65.07% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 51.26% ( 1.87) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.81% ( 1.97) | 43.19% ( -1.98) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.41% ( 1.92) | 65.59% ( -1.92) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.58% ( 1.77) | 41.42% ( -1.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.07% ( 1.52) | 77.93% ( -1.53) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.5% ( 0.56) | 12.49% ( -0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.52% ( 1.16) | 38.48% ( -1.16) |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.67% Total : 14.93% | 1-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.47) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.23) Other @ 0.99% Total : 20% | 0-2 @ 11.19% ( -0.49) 0-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.72) 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 7.76% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 6.84% ( 0.18) 0-4 @ 4.04% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.56% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.22) 0-5 @ 1.68% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.15) 1-5 @ 1.48% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.31% Total : 65.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 44 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 41 |
3 | Inter Milan | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 15 | 30 | 40 |
4 | Lazio | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Juventus | 18 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 32 |
6 | Fiorentina | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 32 |
7 | Bologna | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
9 | Udinese | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
10 | Roma | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
11 | Empoli | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Torino | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
13 | Genoa | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 19 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 19 |
15 | Parma | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 18 |
16 | Como | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
17 | Lecce | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 16 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 14 |
19 | CagliariCagliari | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 10 |
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