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Serie A | Gameweek 13
Nov 24, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Cagliari logo

Genoa
2 - 2
Cagliari

Frendrup (12'), Miretti (59')
Caricol (79'), Bani (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Marin (8' pen.), Piccoli (88' pen.)
Marin (66'), Viola (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Como
Thursday, November 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 3-3 AC Milan
Saturday, November 9 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Genoa 1-1 Cagliari

It is unclear how Vieira's arrival at Genoa affects Sunday's outcome, especially given their winless home form. However, they should avoid losing to fellow strugglers Cagliari on the Frenchman's managerial bow in Italian football. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
GenoaDrawCagliari
39.07% (-0.497 -0.5) 27.63% (0.112 0.11) 33.29% (0.38500000000001 0.39)
Both teams to score 48.62% (-0.251 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.89% (-0.357 -0.36)57.1% (0.357 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.02% (-0.284 -0.28)77.98% (0.285 0.28)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.55% (-0.45299999999999 -0.45)28.45% (0.453 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.79% (-0.572 -0.57)64.21% (0.57400000000001 0.57)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.95% (0.078000000000003 0.08)32.05% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.48% (0.088000000000001 0.09)68.52% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 39.07%
    Cagliari 33.29%
    Draw 27.63%
GenoaDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 11.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.2% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.2% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.02% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 0.95% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 39.07%
1-1 @ 13.04% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.12% (0.124 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.63%
0-1 @ 10.37% (0.16 0.16)
1-2 @ 7.42% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.9% (0.105 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.24% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 33.29%

How you voted: Genoa vs Cagliari

Genoa
48.3%
Draw
40.4%
Cagliari
11.2%
89
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Genoa
3-0
Cagliari
Thorsby (17'), Frendrup (27'), Gudmundsson (63')

Shomurodov (58'), Augello (72')
Nov 5, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 11
Cagliari
2-1
Genoa
Viola (48'), Zappa (69')
Goldaniga (71'), Scuffet (90+7'), Petagna (90+1'), Viola (90+3')
Mar 1, 2023 7.30pm
Oct 7, 2022 7.30pm
Apr 24, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 34
Genoa
1-0
Cagliari
Badelj (89')
Destro (49'), Sturaro (61'), Frendrup (84')

Pedro (41'), Grassi (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan19135148173144
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna197932925430
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese207582328-526
11Genoa215881830-1223
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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