Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 48.8%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Napoli |
48.8% | 24.22% ( -0) | 26.98% |
Both teams to score 56.14% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.12% | 45.88% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.81% | 68.19% ( -0) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.12% | 18.88% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.65% | 50.35% ( -0) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.21% | 30.79% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.93% | 67.06% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 9.69% 2-1 @ 9.52% 2-0 @ 8.08% 3-1 @ 5.29% 3-0 @ 4.49% 3-2 @ 3.11% 4-1 @ 2.2% 4-0 @ 1.87% 4-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.25% Total : 48.8% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 0-0 @ 5.81% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.21% | 0-1 @ 6.85% 1-2 @ 6.72% 0-2 @ 4.03% 1-3 @ 2.64% 2-3 @ 2.2% 0-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.95% Total : 26.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 50 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 33 | 47 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 26 |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | Como | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 22 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 20 |
16 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |