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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 9, 2024 at 5pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Milan logo

Cagliari
vs.
AC Milan

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 2-1 Cagliari
Monday, November 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-3 AC Milan
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Champions League

We say: Cagliari 0-2 AC Milan

Milan have scored a league-high 65% of their goals in the first half this season, while only two teams have found the net less than Cagliari before the break. So, expect the Rossoneri to take a lead that they will not relinquish, as they are improving at the back and their hosts are lightweight up front. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AC Milan win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Cagliari has a probability of 31.81% and a draw has a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Cagliari win is 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.88%).

Result
CagliariDrawAC Milan
31.81% (4.78 4.78) 25.15% (0.693 0.69) 43.03% (-5.473 -5.47)
Both teams to score 56.06% (0.668 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.65% (-0.468 -0.47)47.35% (0.468 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.42% (-0.436 -0.44)69.57% (0.43599999999999 0.44)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.85% (3.133 3.13)28.15% (-3.132 -3.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.17% (3.805 3.81)63.83% (-3.804 -3.8)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.02% (-2.585 -2.59)21.98% (2.585 2.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.72% (-4.077 -4.08)55.28% (4.078 4.08)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 31.81%
    AC Milan 43.03%
    Draw 25.15%
CagliariDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 7.84% (0.792 0.79)
2-1 @ 7.53% (0.812 0.81)
2-0 @ 4.97% (0.874 0.87)
3-1 @ 3.18% (0.58 0.58)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.276 0.28)
3-0 @ 2.1% (0.514 0.51)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.253 0.25)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 31.81%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.32 0.32)
0-0 @ 6.19% (0.121 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.195 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 9.37% (-0.577 -0.58)
1-2 @ 9% (-0.483 -0.48)
0-2 @ 7.1% (-1.06 -1.06)
1-3 @ 4.55% (-0.64 -0.64)
0-3 @ 3.59% (-0.876 -0.88)
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.72% (-0.404 -0.4)
0-4 @ 1.36% (-0.472 -0.47)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 43.03%

Who will win Saturday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and AC Milan?

Cagliari
Draw
AC Milan
Cagliari
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
AC Milan
100%
4
Head to Head
May 11, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
AC Milan
5-1
Cagliari
Bennacer (35'), Pulisic (59', 86'), Reijnders (74'), Leao (83')
Bennacer (28'), Gabbia (33')
Nandez (63')
Mina (69')
Jan 2, 2024 8pm
Round of 16
AC Milan
4-1
Cagliari
Jovic (29', 42'), Traore (50'), Leao (90+1')
Azzi (87')
Di Pardo (59'), Deiola (70'), Azzi (88')
Sep 27, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Cagliari
1-3
AC Milan
Luvumbo (29')
Wieteska (42'), Zappa (53'), Oristanio (78')
Okafor (40'), Tomori (45'), Loftus-Cheek (60')
Loftus-Cheek (48')
Mar 19, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
AC Milan
4-1
Cagliari
Tonali (12'), Leao (17'), Giroud (24', 43' pen.)
Diaz (73')
Deiola (15')
Henrique (5'), Deiola (38'), Strootman (41'), Godin (62'), Nandez (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14CagliariCagliari11236919-109
15Genoa11236821-139
16Como112361222-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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