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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 9, 2024 at 5pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Milan logo

Cagliari
3 - 3
AC Milan

Zortea (2'), Zappa (53', 90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Leao (15', 40'), Abraham (69')
Fofana (61'), Hernandez (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions
Last Game: Lazio 2-1 Cagliari
Monday, November 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-3 AC Milan
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Cagliari 0-2 AC Milan

 Milan have scored a league-high 65% of their goals in the first half this season, while only two teams have found the net less than Cagliari before the break. So, expect the Rossoneri to take a lead that they will not relinquish, as they are improving at the back and their hosts are lightweight up front. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
CagliariDrawAC Milan
31.79% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 25.14% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 43.06% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Both teams to score 56.07% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.66% (0.012999999999998 0.01)47.34% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.44% (0.012 0.01)69.56% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.84% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)28.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.16% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)63.84% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.04% (0.018000000000001 0.02)21.96% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.75% (0.029000000000003 0.03)55.25% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 31.79%
    AC Milan 43.06%
    Draw 25.13%
CagliariDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 7.84% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 4.97% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.41%
3-0 @ 2.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 31.79%
1-1 @ 11.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.18% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.71%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 9.37%
1-2 @ 9.01% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-2 @ 7.1% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 4.55% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 3.59% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.36% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 43.06%

How you voted: Cagliari vs AC Milan

Cagliari
8.1%
Draw
11.7%
AC Milan
80.2%
111
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> Preview
Jan 2, 2024 8pm
Round of 16
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Azzi (87')
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> Preview
Sep 27, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Cagliari
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AC Milan
Luvumbo (29')
Wieteska (42'), Zappa (53'), Oristanio (78')
Okafor (40'), Tomori (45'), Loftus-Cheek (60')
Loftus-Cheek (48')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Cagliari
0-1
AC Milan

Bellanova (77')
Bennacer (59')
> Preview
Aug 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
AC Milan
4-1
Cagliari
Tonali (12'), Leao (17'), Giroud (24', 43' pen.)
Diaz (73')
Deiola (15')
Henrique (5'), Deiola (38'), Strootman (41'), Godin (62'), Nandez (84')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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