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Championship | Gameweek 19
Jan 14, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Watford logo

Cardiff
vs.
Watford

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Cardiff
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Championship
Next Game: Sheff Utd vs. Cardiff
Thursday, January 9 at 7pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Watford 1-2 Sheff Utd
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Championship
Next Game: Fulham vs. Watford
Thursday, January 9 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

We say: Cardiff City 1-2 Watford

Given Watford's away record, Cardiff will feel that they are the marginal favourites to come through this contest. However, we feel that the Hornets' superior quality will shine through at some stage, earning them a narrow win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cardiff City win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Watford has a probability of 31.92% and a draw has a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Watford win is 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.17%).

Result
Cardiff CityDrawWatford
42.44% (0.058 0.06) 25.64% (-0.162 -0.16) 31.92% (0.104 0.1)
Both teams to score 54.46% (0.565 0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.55% (0.715 0.72)49.45% (-0.717 -0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.51% (0.637 0.64)71.49% (-0.64 -0.64)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.83% (0.33799999999999 0.34)23.16% (-0.34 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.96% (0.492 0.49)57.04% (-0.495 -0.5)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.88% (0.426 0.43)29.12% (-0.426 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.96% (0.52 0.52)65.04% (-0.521 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 42.44%
    Watford 31.92%
    Draw 25.64%
Cardiff CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.187 -0.19)
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.34% (0.054 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.065 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 42.44%
1-1 @ 12.17% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.199 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.079 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 8.32% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-2 @ 7.51% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.13% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.09% (0.051 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 31.92%

Who will win Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff and Watford?

Cardiff City
Draw
Watford
Cardiff City
11.5%
Draw
23.1%
Watford
65.4%
26
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 24
Watford
1-2
Cardiff
Chakvetadze (38')
Louza (60'), Andrews (86')
Robinson (1', 42')
Rinomhota (55'), Chambers (69'), Daland (81')
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Watford
0-1
Cardiff

Chakvetadze (44'), Pollock (47'), Livermore (50')
Bowler (43')
Colwill (51'), Bowler (69'), Goutas (90+1')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Cardiff
1-1
Watford
Issouf Bayo (54')
Sierralta (39'), Lewis (65')
Apr 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Watford
1-3
Cardiff
Sarr (11')
Etete (31'), Kipre (35'), Kaba (42')
Nov 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Cardiff
1-2
Watford
Kipre (9')
Sierralta (38'), Sarr (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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