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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cardiff City win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Watford has a probability of 31.92% and a draw has a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Watford win is 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.17%).
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Watford |
42.44% ( 0.06) | 25.64% ( -0.16) | 31.92% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 54.46% ( 0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.55% ( 0.72) | 49.45% ( -0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.51% ( 0.64) | 71.49% ( -0.64) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.83% ( 0.34) | 23.16% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.96% ( 0.49) | 57.04% ( -0.5) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.88% ( 0.43) | 29.12% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.96% ( 0.52) | 65.04% ( -0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.08% Total : 42.44% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.54% Total : 31.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
9 | Watford | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 28 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Portsmouth | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 23 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 20 |
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