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Championship | Gameweek 19
Nov 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Watford logo

Cardiff
1 - 2
Watford

Kipre (9')
Nkounkou (40'), Wintle (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sierralta (38'), Sarr (59')
Sema (77'), Gaspar (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Rotherham
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Wigan 0-1 Watford
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-2 Watford

Hudson and Cardiff will be on a high after getting back on track at the weekend. Nevertheless, there can be no doubting that Watford possess the superior quality in the final third, something which we feel will lead to the Hornets edging this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Watford in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Watford.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawWatford
34.66% (0.268 0.27) 27.78% (0.179 0.18) 37.56% (-0.443 -0.44)
Both teams to score 48.4% (-0.498 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.53% (-0.641 -0.64)57.47% (0.642 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.73% (-0.511 -0.51)78.27% (0.512 0.51)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.67% (-0.146 -0.15)31.33% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.31% (-0.171 -0.17)67.69% (0.173 0.17)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48% (-0.574 -0.57)29.52% (0.576 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47% (-0.705 -0.7)65.53% (0.708 0.71)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 34.66%
    Watford 37.56%
    Draw 27.77%
Cardiff CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 10.73% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 7.6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.101 0.1)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.41% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 34.66%
1-1 @ 13.09% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.25% (0.224 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.074000000000001 -0.07)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.77%
0-1 @ 11.28% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 7.99% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 6.88% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.8% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 37.56%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Watford

Cardiff City
18.0%
Draw
13.5%
Watford
68.5%
89
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Cardiff
1-2
Watford
Sierralta (14' og.)
Bacuna (81'), Ng (90+2')
Chalobah (15'), Masina (90+3')
Bachmann (39'), Hughes (45+1'), Sarr (82'), Sierralta (85')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Watford
0-1
Cardiff

Perica (89')
Moore (43')
Ojo (60'), Ralls (66')
Feb 22, 2019 7.45pm
Cardiff
1-5
Watford
Bamba (82')
Paterson (85')
Deulofeu (18', 61', 63'), Deeney (73', 91')
Capoue (30'), Pereyra (55')
Dec 15, 2018 3pm
Watford
3-2
Cardiff
Deulofeu (16'), Holebas (52'), Quina (68')
Hoilett (80'), Reid (82')
Jul 28, 2015 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
16Millwall28810102726134
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2878133651-1529
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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