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Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Watford logo

Cardiff
1 - 1
Watford

FT(HT: 1-0)
Issouf Bayo (54')
Sierralta (39'), Lewis (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Watford
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Watford

With Cardiff having lost out at Middlesbrough, Watford will sense an opportunity to get back on track. Nevertheless, the Welsh side have been excellent at home this season and we cannot envisage Watford getting over the line, even if they do prove to be competitive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 50.27%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Watford had a probability of 23.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawWatford
50.27% (0.509 0.51) 26.24% (-0.151 -0.15) 23.48% (-0.36 -0.36)
Both teams to score 46.71% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.34% (0.246 0.25)56.66% (-0.248 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.38% (0.198 0.2)77.62% (-0.2 -0.2)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.38% (0.331 0.33)22.62% (-0.333 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.77% (0.491 0.49)56.23% (-0.492 -0.49)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.36% (-0.202 -0.2)39.64% (0.201 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.68% (-0.185 -0.18)76.32% (0.18299999999999 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 50.27%
    Watford 23.48%
    Draw 26.24%
Cardiff CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 13.32%
2-0 @ 9.91% (0.101 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.91% (0.097 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.066 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.69% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 50.27%
1-1 @ 12.33% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.97% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 8.3% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-2 @ 5.71% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.84% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 23.48%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Watford

Cardiff City
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Watford
14.3%
42
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Watford
1-3
Cardiff
Sarr (11')
Etete (31'), Kipre (35'), Kaba (42')
Nov 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Cardiff
1-2
Watford
Kipre (9')
Sierralta (38'), Sarr (59')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 36
Cardiff
1-2
Watford
Sierralta (14' og.)
Bacuna (81'), Ng (90+2')
Chalobah (15'), Masina (90+3')
Bachmann (39'), Hughes (45+1'), Sarr (82'), Sierralta (85')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 16
Watford
0-1
Cardiff

Perica (89')
Moore (43')
Ojo (60'), Ralls (66')
Feb 22, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Cardiff
1-5
Watford
Bamba (82')
Paterson (85')
Deulofeu (18', 61', 63'), Deeney (73', 91')
Capoue (30'), Pereyra (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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