MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 12:46:25| >> :60:2343:2343:
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 1st Leg
Jul 19, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Athletico Paranaense

Cerro Porteno
1 - 1
Athletico PR

Benitez (33')
Piris (45+8'), Baez (63'), Gimenez (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Christian (69')
Godoy (45+4'), Julimar (45+4'), Christian (67'), Pablo (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Cerro Porteno and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Porteno

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 1-1 Colo-Colo
Thursday, May 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Athletico PR 3-0 Ypiranga Erechim
Saturday, July 13 at 10pm in Copa do Brasil

We said: Cerro Porteno 0-1 Athletico Paranaense

 It has been over two weeks since Porteno last played in a competitive game, and given the long layoff, we expect it may take them a while to find a foothold in this one. Paranaense do not seem to be phased with these knockout fixtures, and we expect them to eventually find a breakthrough against what could be a pesky backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Cerro PortenoDrawAthletico Paranaense
33.35% (0.314 0.31) 27.6% (0.154 0.15) 39.06% (-0.46400000000001 -0.46)
Both teams to score 48.73% (-0.393 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.04% (-0.524 -0.52)56.96% (0.527 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.13% (-0.424 -0.42)77.87% (0.426 0.43)
Cerro Porteno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.06% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)31.94% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.6% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)68.4% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.61% (-0.51600000000001 -0.52)28.39% (0.52 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.86% (-0.655 -0.66)64.14% (0.657 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Porteno 33.35%
    Athletico Paranaense 39.05%
    Draw 27.6%
Cerro PortenoDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 10.35% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 7.44% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.91% (0.1 0.1)
3-1 @ 2.83% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.25% (0.035 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 33.35%
1-1 @ 13.03% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.07% (0.182 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.6%
0-1 @ 11.41% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.2% (-0.084999999999999 -0.08)
0-2 @ 7.19% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.44% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.02% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 39.05%

How you voted: Cerro Porteno vs Athletico PR

Cerro Porteno
28.2%
Draw
25.6%
Athletico Paranaense
46.2%
39
rhs 2.0
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