MX23RW : Thursday, January 9 04:46:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Chaves
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
May 4, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Porto

Chaves
0 - 3
Porto


Essugo (24'), Pius (45+4')
Pius (28')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Conceicao (27'), Evanilson (45+1'), Taremi (73' pen.)
Correia (60'), Fernandes (67'), Fernandes (88'), Eustaquio (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions
Last Game: Casa Pia 3-1 Chaves
Saturday, April 27 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-2 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, April 28 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Chaves 0-2 Porto

 Relegation-battling Chaves are desperate for points here but they lack the quality to hurt a side like Porto, who have dominated this fixture over the years. We expect the visitors to pick up a win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 72.74%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 10.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.46%) and 0-3 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Chaves win it was 1-0 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
ChavesDrawPorto
10.42% (0.131 0.13) 16.84% (0.334 0.33) 72.74% (-0.465 -0.47)
Both teams to score 48.32% (-0.733 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.1% (-1.214 -1.21)39.9% (1.214 1.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.74% (-1.27 -1.27)62.26% (1.27 1.27)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.44% (-0.56 -0.56)46.56% (0.562 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.85% (-0.431 -0.43)82.15% (0.432 0.43)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.42% (-0.41800000000001 -0.42)9.58% (0.4181 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.96% (-0.991 -0.99)32.04% (0.991 0.99)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 10.42%
    Porto 72.73%
    Draw 16.84%
ChavesDrawPorto
1-0 @ 3.41% (0.137 0.14)
2-1 @ 3.06% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.3% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 0.91% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 10.42%
1-1 @ 8% (0.175 0.18)
0-0 @ 4.46% (0.246 0.25)
2-2 @ 3.59% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 16.84%
0-2 @ 12.26% (0.23 0.23)
0-1 @ 10.46% (0.39 0.39)
0-3 @ 9.59% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 9.38% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 7.33% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-4 @ 5.63% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-4 @ 4.3% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-5 @ 2.64% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-5 @ 2.02% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.64% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-6 @ 1.03% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 72.73%

How you voted: Chaves vs Porto

Chaves
22.2%
Draw
0.0%
Porto
77.8%
18
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 8.45pm
Gameweek 15
Porto
1-0
Chaves
Mario (58')
Martinez (41'), Varela (51'), Cardoso (90')

Ribeiro (25'), Rodrigues (50'), Correia (75'), Victor (85'), Cruz (88')
> Preview
Mar 4, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 23
Chaves
1-3
Porto
Vitoria (53' pen.)
Loader (15'), Otavio (43'), Martinez (90+6')
> Preview
Dec 8, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Chaves
0-2
Porto
Loader (55', 59')
> Preview
Sep 10, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 6
Porto
3-0
Chaves
Taremi (3'), Evanilson (70'), Franco (82')
> Preview
Jan 18, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 18
Chaves
1-4
Porto
Gallo (76' pen.)
Singh (59')
Tiquinho (24', 42', 68'), Coelho (87' og.)
Tiquinho (35'), Corona (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Porto1613124093140
3Benfica17122338112738
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1710161816231
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao174852020020
10Rio AveRio Ave175571828-1020
11Gil Vicente174761926-719
12Estoril PraiaEstoril174671828-1018
13Estrela Amadora174491629-1316
14AVS172961324-1115
15AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
16SC FarenseFarense173591123-1214
17Nacional163491123-1213
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512
> Primeira Liga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!