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Benfica
Boavista
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Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Porto

Estoril
1 - 0
Porto

Cassiano (69')
Zanocelo (45+5'), Tavares (46'), Marques (81'), Carne (81'), Pina (89')
Vital (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mario (37'), Pepe (65'), Gonzalez (77'), Conceicao (78'), Evanilson (88'), Pepe (90+1'), Otavio (90+1')
Costa (65'), Conceicao (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Portimonense
Friday, March 15 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 4-1 Vizela
Saturday, March 16 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 1-3 Porto

 Given the stakes of this weekend's clash for both sides, we anticipate a thrilling contest at the Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota. However, Porto boast the firepower needed to get this one over the line and we fancy them to extend their dominance over the Canarinhos. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 58.67%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 19.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawPorto
19.31% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 22.02% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 58.67% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 53.74% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.53% (0.052 0.05)44.47% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.16% (0.051000000000002 0.05)66.85% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.1% (0.0049999999999955 0)36.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.31% (0.004999999999999 0)73.69%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.17% (0.037000000000006 0.04)14.83% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.86% (0.064 0.06)43.14% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 19.31%
    Porto 58.66%
    Draw 22.02%
Estoril PraiaDrawPorto
1-0 @ 5.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 2.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.72% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.65%
3-0 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 19.31%
1-1 @ 10.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.02%
0-1 @ 10.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.97% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 9.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 6.34% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.32% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.15% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 3.03% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.02% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.5% (0.0039999999999998 0)
0-5 @ 1.16% (0.004 0)
1-5 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 58.66%

How you voted: Estoril vs Porto

Estoril Praia
13.8%
Draw
6.9%
Porto
79.3%
29
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2024 8.45pm
Round of 16
Estoril
0-4
Porto

Marques (45+1'), Marques (45+2'), Alvaro (49')
Evanilson (24', 31', 56'), Galeno (76')
Gonzalez (53'), Wendell (79')
> Preview
Dec 6, 2023 6pm
Group Stage
Estoril
3-1
Porto
Cassiano (22'), Guitane (90+1'), Carlos (90+5' pen.)
Feltes (72')
Pepe (34')
Grujic (53'), Taremi (55'), Eustaquio (71'), Cardoso (83'), Carmo (90+4')
> Preview
Nov 3, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 10
Porto
0-1
Estoril

Eustaquio (29'), Conceicao (31'), Gonzalez (70'), Carmo (74'), Martinez (78')
Holsgrove (75')
Feltes (10'), Fernandes (35'), Marques (39'), Vital (45+1'), Alvaro (55'), Araujo (56'), Carne (84')
> Preview
Mar 10, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 24
Porto
3-2
Estoril
Grujic (9'), Franco (31'), Taremi (73' pen.)
Gouveia (27'), Geraldes (67' pen.)
> Preview
Sep 17, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 7
Estoril
1-1
Porto
Gouveia (41')
Taremi (90+9' pen.)
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon16131244103440
2Porto1613124093140
3Benfica1612223792838
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara1610061816230
5Braga1684428181028
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes166642218424
7Casa Pia166551819-123
8MoreirenseMoreirense166372124-321
9FamalicaoFamalicao164751919019
10Rio AveRio Ave165471727-1019
11Gil Vicente164661825-718
12Estrela Amadora164481425-1116
13Estoril PraiaEstoril163671426-1215
14AVS162861223-1114
15SC FarenseFarense163491123-1213
16Nacional163491123-1213
17BoavistaBoavista162681023-1312
18AroucaArouca1633101027-1712
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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