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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 27, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
Chaves

Casa Pia
3 - 1
Chaves

Tchamba (44'), Soma (67'), Lacximicant (90+6')
Santos (37'), Neto (45+3'), Soma (67'), Segovia (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nwakali (65')
Moreno (43'), Guzzo (45+3'), Fernandes (56'), Correia (69'), Sanca (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-2 Porto
Sunday, April 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Chaves 2-2 Estoril
Sunday, April 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Casa Pia 1-2 Chaves

The last four meetings between Casa Pia and Chaves have produced a combined 13 goals and we anticipate another action-packed contest this weekend. Having picked up four points from their last two games, Chaves visit the Estadio Pina Monique with renewed confidence and we are backing them to claim a narrow win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Casa PiaDrawChaves
33.82% (0.0040000000000049 0) 26.98% (0.02 0.02) 39.2% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.73% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.51% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)54.49% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.15% (-0.07 -0.07)75.85% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.62% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)30.38% (0.040000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.43% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)66.57% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.86% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)27.14% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.47% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)62.53% (0.07 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 33.82%
    Chaves 39.2%
    Draw 26.98%
Casa PiaDrawChaves
1-0 @ 9.82% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.32%
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 33.82%
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.24% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 10.75% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.35% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.01% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.05% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 39.2%

Head to Head
Dec 17, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 14
Chaves
1-3
Casa Pia
Jo (45')
Langa (29')
Clayton (20', 82'), Dias (23')
Cardoso (52')
Apr 29, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 30
Chaves
1-0
Casa Pia
Vitoria (42')
Nov 13, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 13
Casa Pia
1-2
Chaves
Nunes (28')
Hernandez (82'), Vitoria (90+1' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1010003533230
2Porto109012742327
3Benfica97112461822
4Braga106221771020
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes105321210218
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara106041312118
7FamalicaoFamalicao10442129316
8MoreirenseMoreirense104241212014
9Casa Pia10334913-412
10Gil Vicente102441216-410
11BoavistaBoavista10235713-69
12Estoril PraiaEstoril10235816-89
13AVS10235919-109
14Rio AveRio Ave10235820-129
15Nacional9225613-78
16AroucaArouca10217619-137
17Estrela Amadora10136820-126
18SC FarenseFarense10118417-134


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