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Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Colchester
1 - 1
Crewe

Chilvers (35')
Kelleher (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nevitt (90+2')
Rowe (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colchester 1-4 Doncaster
Tuesday, April 23 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Wrexham
Saturday, April 20 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Colchester United 2-0 Crewe Alexandra

All of the League Two contests on Saturday take place simultaneously, which means each side should feel a sense of urgency to earn a result. Despite Crewe having 26 more points than their weekend opponents, they have looked undisciplined and unhinged defensively, sometimes against mediocre sides, while Colchester have been able to keep most of their recent matches close, and that consistency should help them in this decisive encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawCrewe Alexandra
29.91% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 24.12% (0.0089999999999968 0.01) 45.98% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Both teams to score 58.63% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.44% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)43.56% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.05% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)65.95% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.49% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)27.51% (0.096999999999998 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.98% (-0.12 -0.12)63.02% (0.125 0.13)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.88% (0.0019999999999953 0)19.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.25% (0.0010000000000048 0)50.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 29.91%
    Crewe Alexandra 45.98%
    Draw 24.11%
Colchester UnitedDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-1 @ 7.25% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.12% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.88% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 29.91%
1-1 @ 11.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.26% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.11%
1-2 @ 9.29% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.7% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.2% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.13% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 3.97% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.12% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-4 @ 1.64% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.37% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 45.98%

How you voted: Colchester vs Crewe

Colchester United
31.3%
Draw
31.3%
Crewe Alexandra
37.5%
16
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Crewe
2-1
Colchester
Long (3', 8' pen.)
Demetriou (90+3')
Tovide (53')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Colchester
4-0
Crewe
Akinde (24', 28'), Chilvers (40'), Tovide (55')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Crewe
1-0
Colchester
Agyei (80')
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Crewe
0-0
Colchester
Lowery (71'), Pickering (80'), Hunt (95')
Comley (45'), Eastman (83')
Robinson (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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