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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
29.91% ( -0.08) | 24.12% ( 0.01) | 45.98% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 58.63% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.44% ( -0.07) | 43.56% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.05% ( -0.07) | 65.95% ( 0.08) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.49% ( -0.09) | 27.51% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.98% ( -0.12) | 63.02% ( 0.13) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.88% ( 0) | 19.12% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.25% ( 0) | 50.75% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.79% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 29.91% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.11% | 1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.13% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.12% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 3.25% Total : 45.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 55 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 43 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
20 | Swindon TownSwindon | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 25 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |