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AFC Wimbledon
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Doncaster Rovers
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Gillingham
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Port Vale
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Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Colchester United

Notts County
1 - 0
Colchester

Langstaff (54')
Jones (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mingi (53'), Read (90+4'), Chilvers (90+2')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Notts County and Colchester United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Notts County 2-5 Stockport
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League Two

Colchester United

All competitions
Last Game: Colchester 2-0 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 38.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (4.97%) and 2-3 (4.68%). The likeliest Notts County win was 2-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Notts CountyDrawColchester United
38.51% (0.232 0.23) 21.26% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 40.23% (-0.239 -0.24)
Both teams to score 72.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.25% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)26.74% (0.02 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.83% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)47.17% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.78% (0.082000000000008 0.08)15.22% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.13% (0.15300000000001 0.15)43.87% (-0.153 -0.15)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.43% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)14.57% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.36% (-0.186 -0.19)42.63% (0.186 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 38.51%
    Colchester United 40.23%
    Draw 21.26%
Notts CountyDrawColchester United
2-1 @ 7.57% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.75% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.58% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 4.17% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.93% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.47% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.15% (0.012 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.38% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.16% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 38.51%
1-1 @ 8.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 7.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 2.94% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-0 @ 2.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 21.26%
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.97% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 4.68% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.4% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.25% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-4 @ 1.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-5 @ 0.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 40.23%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Colchester
5-4
Notts County
Chilvers (10'), Fevrier (31'), Read (38', 74'), McGeehan (58')
Egbo (21'), Tovide (68'), McGeehan (72'), Goodman (75')
McGeehan (79')
Austin (21'), Langstaff (48', 90+2'), Jones (67')
McGoldrick (14'), Baldwin (37'), Cameron (54')
Jan 5, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 27
Colchester
3-3
Notts County
Szmodics (8'), Mandron (45'), Pell (67' pen.)
Pell (90')
Stead (16'), Jones (19'), Dennis (32')
Aug 4, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 1
Notts County
0-0
Colchester
Jones (24'), Duffy (45'), Vaughan (74'), Hewitt (80')
Pell (64'), Jackson (86')
Apr 14, 2018 3pm
Colchester
1-3
Notts County
Wright (9')
Forte (51'), Ameobi (69'), Duffy (76')
Virtue-Thick (52'), Stead (82'), Hewitt (86')
Nov 25, 2017 3pm
Notts County
2-1
Colchester
Ameobi (68' pen.), Yates (90')
Tootle (10'), Duffy (64'), Ameobi (74'), Grant (77')
Odelusi (89')
Mandron (67'), Jackson (74'), Kent (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
3Port Vale2010642619736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham209382218430
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
14BarrowBarrow207582018226
15Bromley195952323024
16Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
18Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
20Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714
> League Two Full Table


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