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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Gillingham | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
47.64% ( 0.06) | 25.31% ( -0.02) | 27.05% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 52.68% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.55% ( 0.06) | 50.45% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.62% ( 0.05) | 72.38% ( -0.06) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.8% ( 0.05) | 21.19% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.93% ( 0.08) | 54.07% ( -0.08) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.85% ( 0) | 33.14% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.25% ( 0) | 69.74% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Gillingham | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
1-0 @ 10.89% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 47.63% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 27.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 58 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 49 |
3 | Notts County | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 47 |
4 | Bradford CityBradford | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 47 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 47 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 45 |
7 | Port Vale | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 45 |
8 | Salford City | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 43 |
9 | Chesterfield | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 39 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 28 | 12 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 39 |
11 | MK Dons | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 38 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 36 |
13 | Bromley | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 35 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
16 | Swindon TownSwindon | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Gillingham | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 32 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 31 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 29 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 29 |
21 | Newport CountyNewport | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 27 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 26 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 21 |
24 | Morecambe | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 20 |
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