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Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Gillingham
0 - 0
Crewe


Morris (46'), Ehmer (82')
FT

Cooney (70'), Austerfield (74'), Turns (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 2-3 Gillingham
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Gillingham 1-1 Crewe Alexandra

Despite their relatively lofty positions in League Two's table, neither team have been in particularly good form of late, winning just two matches from their last 10 games combined. As such, we can envisage both managers being content with avoiding defeat on Friday, as they look to remain in contention to claim one of the four playoff spots on offer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawCrewe Alexandra
47.64% (0.061999999999998 0.06) 25.31% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 27.05% (-0.041 -0.04)
Both teams to score 52.68% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.55% (0.061999999999998 0.06)50.45% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.62% (0.053999999999998 0.05)72.38% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8% (0.052000000000007 0.05)21.19% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.93% (0.081000000000003 0.08)54.07% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.85% (0.0010000000000048 0)33.14% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)69.74% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 47.63%
    Crewe Alexandra 27.05%
    Draw 25.3%
GillinghamDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 10.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.7% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 47.63%
1-1 @ 12.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 7.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.65% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 27.05%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Crewe

Gillingham
60.0%
Draw
10.0%
Crewe Alexandra
30.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Crewe
2-0
Gillingham
O'Riordan (30'), White (85')
Powell (35')
Mar 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Gillingham
2-1
Crewe
Nichols (56'), O'Brien (70')
Ainley (62')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Crewe
1-1
Gillingham
Agyei (19')
Kashket (12')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Gillingham
1-0
Crewe
Lloyd (17' pen.)
Tutonda (65'), McKenzie (90+7')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 18
Crewe
2-0
Gillingham
Long (11'), Lowery (90+1')
Offord (68')

O'Keefe (47'), Phillips (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons24104103835334
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood237973028230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2561272928130
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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