Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 14
Oct 27, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Deeside College Stadium
Connah's Quay2 - 1Briton Ferry
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Briton Ferry.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bala Town 0-0 Connah's Quay
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: Briton Ferry 1-2 Haverfordwest
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
10
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 66.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 15.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 1-0 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Briton Ferry win it was 1-2 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.
Result | ||
Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Briton Ferry |
66.55% ( -0.22) | 18.23% ( 0.16) | 15.22% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 58.48% ( -0.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.84% ( -0.66) | 34.16% ( 0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.95% ( -0.75) | 56.05% ( 0.75) |
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.47% ( -0.23) | 9.53% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.06% ( -0.55) | 31.93% ( 0.54) |
Briton Ferry Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.64% ( -0.35) | 35.36% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.88% ( -0.37) | 72.12% ( 0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Connah's Quay Nomads 66.55%
Briton Ferry 15.22%
Draw 18.23%
Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Briton Ferry |
2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.56% Total : 66.55% | 1-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.23% Total : 18.23% | 1-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 15.22% |
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Briton Ferry
1-5
Connah's Quay
Bowen (5')
Gammond (22'), Brock (30'), Bowen (39'), Evans (79')
Gammond (22'), Brock (30'), Bowen (39'), Evans (79')
Mwandwe (14'), Disney (50' pen.), Williams (51'), Hughes (72'), Berry (89')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-07 01:04:39
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 21 | 16 | 0 | 5 | 59 | 26 | 33 | 48 |
2 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 47 |
3 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 39 |
4 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 32 |
5 | Bala TownBala Town | 20 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 29 |
6 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 29 |
7 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 28 |
8 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 26 |
9 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 20 |
10 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 19 |
11 | Briton Ferry | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 18 |
12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 17 | 47 | -30 | 14 |
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