MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 23:03:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9
Sep 24, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside College Stadium
Newtown logo

Connah's Quay
1 - 1
Newtown

Hughes (32')
Edwards (35'), Edwards (54')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Williams (45+1')
Evans (4'), Sutton (61')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 2-2 Newtown
Friday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 50.67%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawNewtown AFC
50.67% (0.15 0.15) 23.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 25.93% (-0.15 -0.15)
Both teams to score 57.94% (-0.137 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.93% (-0.116 -0.12)43.07% (0.11 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.53% (-0.113 -0.11)65.47% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.91% (0.010000000000005 0.01)17.09% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.71% (0.021999999999998 0.02)47.29% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.88% (-0.178 -0.18)30.12% (0.172 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.74% (-0.21400000000001 -0.21)66.26% (0.208 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 50.67%
    Newtown AFC 25.93%
    Draw 23.4%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawNewtown AFC
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.1% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.03% (0.047 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.68% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.73% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.41% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.09% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 50.67%
1-1 @ 10.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.15% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.4%
1-2 @ 6.55% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.71% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 25.93%

Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 7
Connah's Quay
0-0
Newtown
Edwards (59')
Cowans (13'), Roberts (38')
Feb 10, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Newtown
2-3
Connah's Quay
Oswell (9', 59')
Evans (51'), Ismail (58'), Sears (81'), Wycherley (85'), Downs (87')
Davies (27', 45+3'), Kenny (53')
Poole (19'), Harrington (45+1'), Firth (73')
Dec 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Newtown
1-2
Connah's Quay
Sears (90+5')
Sutton (53'), Roberts (72')
Morris (85'), Davies (90+2')
Harrington (19'), Kenny (21')
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Connah's Quay
3-1
Newtown
Davies (2'), Nash (63'), Franklin (66')
Disney (18'), Harrington (88')
Hughes (15')
Evans (52'), Hughes (90')
Mar 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Connah's Quay
2-0
Newtown
Morris (50' pen.), Kenny (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Lions
34-17
Bears
FT
Browns
6-24
Bengals
9.25pm
Patriots
@
Bills
FT
Titans
30-38
Colts
FT
Giants
7-34
Falcons
FT
Rams
19-9
Jets
FT
Cardinals
30-36
Panthers
FT
Eagles
33-36
Washington
9.05pm
Vikings
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
49ers
@
Dolphins
9.25pm
Jags
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!