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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 50.71%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Coventry City | Draw | Swansea City |
50.71% ( -0.31) | 22.47% ( 0.04) | 26.82% ( 0.27) |
Both teams to score 62.11% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.06% ( 0.04) | 37.94% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.8% ( 0.04) | 60.2% ( -0.04) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.8% ( -0.09) | 15.2% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.17% ( -0.17) | 43.83% ( 0.17) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.24% ( 0.21) | 26.76% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.96% ( 0.28) | 62.04% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Coventry City | Draw | Swansea City |
2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.94% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 4% Total : 50.71% | 1-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.47% | 1-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 26.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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