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Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Swansea logo

West Brom
1 - 0
Swansea

Molumby (45+1')
Molumby (10'), Ajayi (20'), Heggem (36'), Tymon (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-2 West Brom
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship

Swansea City

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Wycombe
Wednesday, August 28 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-0 Swansea City

 West Brom managed to keep a dangerous Leeds United side quiet a fortnight ago at The Hawthorns, meaning that the Baggies will be confident of doing the same against Swansea this time around. The visitors will be desperate to respond following a shock defeat to Wycombe on Wednesday, but we believe that the Welsh side are set to suffer another loss. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for West Bromwich Albion in this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawSwansea City
41.88% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 25.51% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 32.61% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.17% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.35% (0.085999999999999 0.09)48.65% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.23% (0.079000000000001 0.08)70.77% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.91% (0.027000000000001 0.03)23.09% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.07% (0.039999999999999 0.04)56.93% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.73% (0.067999999999998 0.07)28.27% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.01% (0.085000000000001 0.09)63.99% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 41.88%
    Swansea City 32.61%
    Draw 25.5%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 9.57% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.43% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.26%
4-2 @ 1% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 41.88%
1-1 @ 12.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.53% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 8.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.21% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.22% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 32.61%

How you voted: West Brom vs Swansea

West Bromwich Albion
76.0%
Draw
16.0%
Swansea City
8.0%
50
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> Preview
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921
> Championship Full Table


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