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Championship header 2

Championship
Swansea logo
Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 25, 2024 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Swansea
1 - 1
Cardiff

Cullen (10')
Allen (90+6'), Ng (90+10')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Robinson (79')
Darling (90+10'), Colwill (90+11')
Bulut (91')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Swansea 3-0 Preston
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Championship

Cardiff City

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Burnley 5-0 Cardiff
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 2-1 Cardiff City

 Although form often becomes irrelevant during the heat of a local derby, Swansea will take confidence from their start to the season and should back themselves against Cardiff this weekend. The Bluebirds are yet to find their feet in the Championship this campaign, and we cannot envisage Bulut's side winning on enemy territory this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 19.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawCardiff City
56.51% (1.804 1.8) 23.6% (0.193 0.19) 19.88% (-2.001 -2)
Both teams to score 49.69% (-3.511 -3.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.66% (-3.208 -3.21)50.34% (3.204 3.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.72% (-2.915 -2.92)72.28% (2.911 2.91)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.38% (-0.517 -0.52)17.62% (0.513 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.78% (-0.901 -0.9)48.21% (0.898 0.9)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.32% (-3.861 -3.86)39.68% (3.857 3.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.64% (-3.76 -3.76)76.35% (3.756 3.76)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 56.5%
    Cardiff City 19.88%
    Draw 23.6%
Swansea CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 12.13% (1.31 1.31)
2-0 @ 10.53% (0.978 0.98)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.1% (0.475 0.48)
3-1 @ 5.64% (-0.135 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.65% (0.165 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.358 -0.36)
4-1 @ 2.45% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.177 -0.18)
5-0 @ 0.92% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 56.5%
1-1 @ 11.22% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.99% (0.863 0.86)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.532 -0.53)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 23.6%
0-1 @ 6.46% (0.171 0.17)
1-2 @ 5.19% (-0.516 -0.52)
0-2 @ 2.99% (-0.243 -0.24)
1-3 @ 1.6% (-0.353 -0.35)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.336 -0.34)
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.184 -0.18)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 19.88%

How you voted: Swansea vs Cardiff

Swansea City
74.5%
Draw
15.7%
Cardiff City
9.8%
51
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 38
Swansea
2-0
Cardiff
Cullen (34'), Lowe (90+6')
Darling (17'), Allen (21')

Meite (17')
> Preview
Sep 16, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Cardiff
2-0
Swansea
Tanner (71'), Ramsey (86' pen.)
Tanner (81')

Fulton (57')
> Preview
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Cardiff
2-3
Swansea
Philogene-Bidace (35'), Kaba (83')
Piroe (3'), Cullen (33'), Cabango (90+9')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 17
Swansea
2-0
Cardiff
Cooper (38'), Obafemi (67')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Cardiff
0-4
Swansea

Doyle (39'), Ralls (80')
Obafemi (6', 82'), Cabango (57'), Wolf (78')
Wolf (29'), Fisher (59'), Downes (69'), Piroe (80')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland129122391428
2Burnley126511751223
3Leeds UnitedLeeds126511981123
4Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd12732146822
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn125431612419
7Watford126151619-319
8Norwich CityNorwich124622216618
9Middlesbrough125341412218
10Millwall124441512316
11Bristol City123721416-216
12Derby CountyDerby124351515015
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds124351318-515
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd123541515014
15Hull City123541416-214
16Preston North EndPreston123541317-414
17Swansea CitySwansea1234588013
18Coventry CityCoventry123361417-312
19Stoke CityStoke123361317-412
20Luton TownLuton133371521-612
21Cardiff CityCardiff123361118-712
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth123361322-912
23Queens Park RangersQPR121651119-89
24Portsmouth121561225-138
> Championship Full Table


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