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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Hull logo

Derby
1 - 1
Hull City

Brown (66')
Forsyth (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Simons (57')
Simons (72'), Hughes (77'), Burstow (90+1'), Pedro (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Derby
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Burnley
Wednesday, October 23 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Derby County 2-1 Hull City

With Derby County having excelled at home so far this season and the visitors yet to truly click under Tim Walter, we back Derby County to earn another three points and continue their pleasing start to the term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawHull City
41.63% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 25.5% (0.0010000000000012 0) 32.87% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.29% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.46%48.53% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.34% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)70.66% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.83% (0.0019999999999953 0)23.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)57.04% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.04% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 41.63%
    Hull City 32.87%
    Draw 25.49%
Derby CountyDrawHull City
1-0 @ 9.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 8.83% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.31%
3-0 @ 3.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 1.58%
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 41.63%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 6.5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.62%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 8.26%
1-2 @ 7.68%
0-2 @ 5.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.38%
0-3 @ 2.23%
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 32.87%

How you voted: Derby vs Hull City

Derby County
58.7%
Draw
27.0%
Hull City
14.3%
63
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Derby
3-1
Hull City
Forsyth (19'), Lawrence (38'), Ebosele (47')
Bielik (53'), Bird (90+4')
Forsyth (65' og.)
Docherty (17'), Greaves (21'), Honeyman (89')
Aug 18, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Hull City
0-1
Derby

Jones (71')
Baldock (57')
Morrison (79'), Roos (90+1'), Stretton (90+2')
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 14
Hull City
2-0
Derby
Bowen (74', 80')
Irvine (11'), Bowler (44'), de Wijs (45'), Elder (63')

Holmes (53')
Feb 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 31
Derby
2-0
Hull City
Waghorn (41', 71')
Wilson (93')

Ridgewell (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds23146343152848
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd23155332131948
3Burnley2313823092147
4Sunderland23128336201644
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2211562720738
6Watford2211473229337
7Middlesbrough23106741311036
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2381142718935
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds239683133-233
10Swansea CitySwansea238692724330
11Bristol City237972728-130
12Norwich CityNorwich237883935429
13Millwall227782220228
14Derby CountyDerby2376102929027
15Coventry CityCoventry2376103234-227
16Preston North EndPreston2351172329-626
17Queens Park RangersQPR2351082331-825
18Luton TownLuton2374122539-1425
19Stoke CityStoke2357112332-922
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2256112439-1521
21Portsmouth214892637-1120
22Hull City2347122132-1119
23Cardiff CityCardiff2246122137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2246122249-2718


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