Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Dundee1 - 2Aberdeen
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rangers 3-0 Dundee
Saturday, September 21 at 5.30pm in Scottish League Cup
Saturday, September 21 at 5.30pm in Scottish League Cup
We said: Dundee 1-4 Aberdeen
Aberdeen have appeared unstoppable in the early parts of 2024-25, while the hosts have struggled in recent outings, suggesting this one will be a comfortable win for the visitors. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 50.48%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 25.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Dundee win was 1-0 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | Aberdeen |
25.18% ( 0.28) | 24.35% ( 0.14) | 50.48% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 54.06% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.14% ( -0.37) | 47.86% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.96% ( -0.34) | 70.04% ( 0.34) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.72% ( 0.03) | 33.28% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.11% ( 0.04) | 69.89% ( -0.04) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.02% ( -0.31) | 18.98% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.48% ( -0.51) | 50.52% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
Dundee 25.18%
Aberdeen 50.47%
Draw 24.34%
| Dundee | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 1-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.38% Total : 25.18% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.34% | 0-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.32% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 4.83% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.21% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.16% Total : 50.47% |
How you voted: Dundee vs Aberdeen
Dundee
19.4%Draw
6.5%Aberdeen
74.2%31
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2024 7.45pm
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Form Guide
