Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 37.61% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.19%) and 0-2 (5.16%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.