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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 23, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Nacional

Guimaraes
2 - 2
Nacional

Silva (24' pen.), Santos (49')
Handel (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Aguiar Tomich (9'), Aurelio (90+3')
Vitor (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-1 Fiorentina
Thursday, December 19 at 8pm in Conference League

Nacional

All competitions
Last Game: Nacional 0-2 Benfica
Thursday, December 19 at 5pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-0 Nacional

 It has been a difficult first half of the season for newly-promoted Nacional, who find themselves languishing at the wrong end of the table heading into the new year.    Guimaraes, meanwhile, made it seven straight home games without defeat with their midweek stalemate against Fiorentina, claiming five wins and two draws, and we are backing them to see off the Alvinegros, who have struggled to impose themselves on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 67.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 11.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.59%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawNacional
67.94% (-0.149 -0.15) 20.09% (0.263 0.26) 11.97% (-0.12 -0.12)
Both teams to score 42.93% (-1.134 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.98% (-1.345 -1.35)50.02% (1.338 1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28% (-1.212 -1.21)72% (1.204 1.2)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.26% (-0.462 -0.46)13.74% (0.455 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.98% (-0.91800000000001 -0.92)41.01% (0.911 0.91)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.76% (-1.046 -1.05)50.23% (1.039 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.18% (-0.733 -0.73)84.82% (0.72500000000001 0.73)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 67.93%
    Nacional 11.97%
    Draw 20.09%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawNacional
1-0 @ 13.7% (0.51 0.51)
2-0 @ 13.59% (0.28 0.28)
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-0 @ 9% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.19% (-0.162 -0.16)
4-0 @ 4.46% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.07% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.122 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.77% (-0.053 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.22% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 67.93%
1-1 @ 9.43% (0.074 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.367 0.37)
2-2 @ 3.22% (-0.128 -0.13)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 20.09%
0-1 @ 4.75% (0.116 0.12)
1-2 @ 3.25% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-2 @ 1.64% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 11.97%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Nacional

Vitoria de Guimaraes
88.9%
Draw
4.4%
Nacional
6.7%
45
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 29
Nacional
1-0
Guimaraes
Mendes (7')
Fernandes (15'), Rochez (44'), Azouni (51'), Silvio (59'), Ibrahim Alhassan (81'), Bessa (84'), Rochinha (84')
> Preview
Jan 21, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 12
Guimaraes
3-1
Nacional
Quaresma (22'), Estupinan (51'), Kal (61' og.)
Mensah (33'), Fernandes (41'), Andre (67')
Gorre (16')
Azouni (19'), Gorre (58')
> Preview
May 5, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 32
Guimaraes
2-2
Nacional
Toze (11' pen.), Hanin (78')
Wakaso (4'), Davidson (45'), Hanin (87'), Dodo (87')
Wakaso (24')
Coelho (82'), Alhassan (92')
Arabidze (12'), Campos (60'), Alhassan (64'), Camacho (65'), Goncalves (69')
Jan 2, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 15
Nacional
1-0
Guimaraes
Camacho (9')
Rochez (22'), Hamzaoui (66'), Franca (78')

Davidson (12'), John (27'), Celis (46'), Osorio (53')
Mar 31, 2017 9pm
Nacional
1-2
Guimaraes
Sayed (91')
Sequeira (52'), Cesar (56'), Facchini (94'), Sayed (95')
Correia (95')
Miranda (25'), Texeira (86')
Ferreira (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon18142251143744
2Benfica18132342113141
3Porto18131441142740
4Braga18104431191234
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1810172019131
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes186842824426
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense186572225-323
9Gil Vicente185762227-522
10Estoril PraiaEstoril185672130-921
11FamalicaoFamalicao184862024-420
12Rio AveRio Ave185581831-1320
13Nacional185491624-819
14Estrela Amadora1844101630-1416
15AroucaArouca1844101530-1516
16SC FarenseFarense183691123-1215
17AVS182971427-1315
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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