MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 22:40:12| >> :300:86500:86500:
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 15
Jul 21, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Boras Arena

Elfsborg
3 - 1
Mjallby AIF

Abdulai (1', 42'), Holmen (51')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Stroud (27')
Stahl (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Elfsborg and Mjallby AIF, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pafos 2-5 Elfsborg
Thursday, July 18 at 5pm in Europa League
Last Game: Mjallby AIF 2-1 Malmo
Saturday, July 13 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Elfsborg 2-1 Mjallby AIF

It is difficult to overlook Mjallby's poor away form despite their overall impressive record thus far, and the discrepancy between their home and away results could prove significant when they face a team like Elfsborg, who are currently enjoying a strong run of form on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Mjallby AIF had a probability of 21.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Mjallby AIF win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.

Result
ElfsborgDrawMjallby AIF
55.64% (0.375 0.38) 23.14% (-0.172 -0.17) 21.21% (-0.206 -0.21)
Both teams to score 53.1% (0.258 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.2% (0.485 0.48)46.8% (-0.486 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.94% (0.451 0.45)69.06% (-0.45399999999999 -0.45)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.34% (0.30699999999999 0.31)16.65% (-0.309 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.49% (0.55 0.55)46.51% (-0.55 -0.55)
Mjallby AIF Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.71% (0.073 0.07)36.29% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.93% (0.073 0.07)73.07% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Elfsborg 55.64%
    Mjallby AIF 21.21%
    Draw 23.14%
ElfsborgDrawMjallby AIF
1-0 @ 10.83% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.71% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 5.88% (0.073 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.8% (0.061 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.64% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.6% (0.053 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.033 0.03)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.031 0.03)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 55.64%
1-1 @ 10.98% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.04% (-0.124 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.022 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.14%
0-1 @ 6.13% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-2 @ 5.57% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.11% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 21.21%

How you voted: Elfsborg vs Mjallby AIF

Elfsborg
73.1%
Draw
11.5%
Mjallby AIF
15.4%
26
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 4.30pm
Apr 29, 2023 2pm
Aug 7, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 17
Mjallby AIF
1-1
Elfsborg
Nwankwo (5')
Kricak (36'), Stahl (90+1')
Baidoo (90+4')
Strand (9')
Apr 4, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 1
Elfsborg
0-2
Mjallby AIF

Soderberg (39'), Lagerbielke (81'), Frick (86')
Moro (55'), Lofquist (66')
Lofquist (71'), Tokich (77'), Gracia (86')
Sep 26, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 21
Mjallby AIF
4-0
Elfsborg
Johnson (12'), Bergstrom (48'), Nilsson (78'), Hodzic (81' pen.)
Kricak (86')

Ronning (11'), McVey (32')
Ronning (79')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MalmoMalmo30198367254265
2HammarbyHammarby30166848252354
3AIK FotbollAIK30173104641554
4Djurgardens IFDjurgarden30165945351053
5Mjallby AIF3014884435950
6GAISGAIS30146103634248
7ElfsborgElfsborg30136115244845
8HackenHacken30126125451342
9SiriusSirius30125134746141
10BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna30810124653-734
11IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping3097143657-2134
12Halmstads BKHalmstad30103173250-1833
13IFK GoteborgGoteborg30710133343-1031
14Varnamo30710133040-1031
15KalmarKalmar3086163858-2030
16Vasteras SKVasteras3065192643-1723


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