MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 18:42:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 14, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
Rio Ave

Estrela Amadora
2 - 2
Rio Ave

Cordeiro (43'), Kikas (88')
Lima (29'), Nanu (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Aderlan (12'), Vrousai (90+9')
Patrick (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Moreirense 2-2 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, April 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 3-0 Gil Vicente
Saturday, April 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estrela Amadora 1-1 Rio Ave

Estrela and Rio Ave find themselves scrambling for points at the wrong end of the table and Sunday's result could prove pivotal in their battle against the drop. We predict that both sides will take a cautious approach to this one and cancel out each other's efforts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Estrela AmadoraDrawRio Ave
30.13% (0.802 0.8) 26.58% (0.387 0.39) 43.29% (-1.188 -1.19)
Both teams to score 50.7% (-0.76 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.06% (-1.177 -1.18)53.94% (1.179 1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.61% (-0.995 -0.99)75.39% (0.996 1)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.35% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)32.64% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)69.19% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.28% (-1.102 -1.1)24.72% (1.103 1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.73% (-1.562 -1.56)59.27% (1.564 1.56)
Score Analysis
    Estrela Amadora 30.13%
    Rio Ave 43.29%
    Draw 26.58%
Estrela AmadoraDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 9.03% (0.404 0.4)
2-1 @ 7.07% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 5.06% (0.223 0.22)
3-1 @ 2.64% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.89% (0.082 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 30.13%
1-1 @ 12.62% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.365 0.37)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.095 -0.09)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 11.27% (0.16 0.16)
1-2 @ 8.82% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-2 @ 7.88% (-0.143 -0.14)
1-3 @ 4.11% (-0.214 -0.21)
0-3 @ 3.67% (-0.188 -0.19)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-4 @ 1.28% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 43.29%

How you voted: Estrela Amadora vs Rio Ave

Estrela Amadora
33.3%
Draw
38.9%
Rio Ave
27.8%
18
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 12
Rio Ave
1-1
Estrela Amadora
Aderlan (81')
Oudrhiri (21'), Rodrigues (66'), Graca (90+5'), Nobrega (90+1')
Sa (86' og.)
Pereira Martins (25')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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